St Kilda v Hawthorn
2023-05-27 13:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

12.6

78

12.16

88

Hawthorn won by 10 points

IN

Paton

Owens

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		74%	23 points	✗	32.8	-0.96
Aggregate		74%	24 points	✗	33.8	-0.96
		85%	29 points	✗	38.5	-1.69
		80%	29 points	✗	38.6	-1.33
		80%	30 points	✗	40.0	-1.31
Punters		80%	27 points	✗	36.5	-1.30
		79%	27 points	✗	36.9	-1.27
		78%	28 points	✗	37.8	-1.21
		78%	32 points	✗	42.0	-1.19
		78%	24 points	✗	34.0	-1.18
		78%	32 points	✗	41.9	-1.18
		76%	23 points	✗	33.1	-1.06
		75%	22 points	✗	31.9	-1.03
		75%	29 points	✗	39.3	-1.02
		74%	22 points	✗	31.8	-0.96
		73%	21 points	✗	31.1	-0.89
		73%	29 points	✗	39.0	-0.89
		72%	20 points	✗	30.0	-0.86
		72%	30 points	✗	40.0	-0.84
		72%	21 points	✗	31.0	-0.84
		71%	19 points	✗	28.8	-0.79
		70%	13 points	✗	23.3	-0.76
		70%	21 points	✗	31.1	-0.73
		67%	14 points	✗	24.1	-0.61
		67%	16 points	✗	26.2	-0.60
		67%	20 points	✗	30.0	-0.58
		66%	17 points	✗	27.0	-0.56

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.