Geelong v Greater Western Sydney
Kardinia Park
10.14
74
12.9
81
Greater Western Sydney won by 7 points
IN
Mullin
Henry
De Koning
Holmes
Simpson
Knevitt
OUT
IN
Brown
Keeffe
Lloyd
Ward
Kelly
Himmelberg
Haynes
Fleeton
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
88% | 41 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -2.02 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
87% | 41 points | ✗ | 47.9 | -1.91 |
|
|
96% | 56 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -3.64 |
|
|
94% | 56 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -3.06 |
|
|
92% | 51 points | ✗ | 58.3 | -2.56 |
|
|
91% | 44 points | ✗ | 50.6 | -2.50 |
|
|
90% | 32 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -2.39 |
|
Punters
|
|
90% | 42 points | ✗ | 49.4 | -2.33 |
|
|
90% | 45 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -2.32 |
|
|
90% | 40 points | ✗ | 46.8 | -2.25 |
|
|
89% | 41 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -2.24 |
|
|
89% | 44 points | ✗ | 50.9 | -2.13 |
|
|
88% | 41 points | ✗ | 47.6 | -2.10 |
|
|
88% | 42 points | ✗ | 49.1 | -2.06 |
|
|
87% | 41 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -2.00 |
|
|
87% | 42 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.97 |
|
|
87% | 37 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.92 |
|
|
86% | 44 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.84 |
|
|
86% | 37 points | ✗ | 44.1 | -1.79 |
|
|
86% | 42 points | ✗ | 49.4 | -1.79 |
|
|
84% | 33 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -1.60 |
|
|
82% | 23 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -1.44 |
|
|
82% | 45 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -1.43 |
|
|
81% | 35 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -1.43 |
|
|
80% | 36 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -1.35 |
|
|
80% | 49 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -1.32 |
|
|
73% | 25 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.89 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.