Collingwood v North Melbourne
2023-05-28 15:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

16.9

105

10.10

70

Collingwood won by 35 points

IN

Ginnivan

Hoskin-Elliott

OUT

IN

Lazzaro

Howe

Zurhaar

Shiels

Curtis

Drury

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		91%	46 points	✓	10.6	0.86
Aggregate		91%	49 points	✓	14.3	0.86
		96%	54 points	✓	18.5	0.93
		95%	66 points	✓	31.0	0.93
		95%	52 points	✓	17.0	0.93
		95%	59 points	✓	24.0	0.93
		95%	50 points	✓	15.0	0.93
		95%	63 points	✓	27.6	0.92
Punters		94%	53 points	✓	17.5	0.91
		94%	55 points	✓	20.5	0.91
		93%	45 points	✓	9.8	0.90
		92%	51 points	✓	16.0	0.88
		92%	50 points	✓	15.2	0.88
		92%	50 points	✓	15.3	0.87
		91%	48 points	✓	12.9	0.87
		91%	59 points	✓	24.2	0.86
		90%	47 points	✓	11.7	0.86
		90%	45 points	✓	10.0	0.85
		90%	42 points	✓	7.2	0.85
		90%	45 points	✓	10.0	0.85
		89%	59 points	✓	24.0	0.83
		88%	43 points	✓	7.9	0.82
		87%	30 points	✓	5.0	0.80
		87%	36 points	✓	1.3	0.80
		83%	40 points	✓	5.3	0.73
		80%	59 points	✓	24.0	0.68
		78%	32 points	✓	3.1	0.65

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.