Port Adelaide v Essendon
2023-05-07 13:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

12.20

92

13.9

87

Port Adelaide won by 5 points

IN

Bonner

Jonas

Marshall

Duursma

Burgoyne

Lord

OUT

IN

Davey Jnr

Heppell

Durham

D'Ambrosio

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	14 points	✓	9.2	0.39
Aggregate		66%	14 points	✓	9.1	0.39
		75%	20 points	✓	15.3	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	18.0	0.56
		73%	23 points	✓	18.0	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	12.9	0.54
		71%	7 points	✓	2.0	0.50
		70%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	11.6	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	13.1	0.46
		68%	24 points	✓	19.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	9.0	0.42
Punters		67%	14 points	✓	9.2	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	9.2	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	9.7	0.41
		65%	13 points	✓	7.5	0.37
		64%	18 points	✓	13.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	6.7	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	6.7	0.34
		63%	14 points	✓	8.9	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	4.5	0.31
		60%	9 points	✓	3.9	0.27
		60%	14 points	✓	9.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	4.0	0.24
		59%	6 points	✓	0.6	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	1.9	0.22
		57%	7 points	✓	2.3	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.