Fremantle v Hawthorn
2023-05-06 19:30:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

18.9

117

7.6

48

Fremantle won by 69 points

IN

Erasmus

Treacy

Frederick

Brodie

Johnson

Sturt

OUT

IN

Meek

Macdonald

Scrimshaw

Breust

Jiath

Ramsden

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		69%	17 points	✓	52.1	0.46
Aggregate		70%	18 points	✓	51.1	0.48
		78%	12 points	✓	57.0	0.65
		76%	22 points	✓	47.3	0.61
		76%	26 points	✓	43.0	0.61
		76%	26 points	✓	43.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	46.4	0.59
Punters		74%	20 points	✓	49.2	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	49.4	0.55
		73%	19 points	✓	50.0	0.55
		72%	19 points	✓	50.1	0.53
		72%	29 points	✓	40.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	48.9	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	52.0	0.48
		69%	24 points	✓	45.0	0.47
		68%	17 points	✓	52.1	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	55.5	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	53.9	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	55.4	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	54.9	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	52.1	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	52.0	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	55.8	0.40
		65%	20 points	✓	49.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	57.0	0.35
		63%	14 points	✓	55.3	0.34
		61%	7 points	✓	62.4	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.