Geelong v Adelaide
2023-05-06 14:10:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

14.14

98

11.6

72

Geelong won by 26 points

IN

Ceglar

Bruhn

Tuohy

Rohan

De Koning

Bowes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	28 points	✓	2.2	0.65
Aggregate		80%	30 points	✓	4.2	0.67
		92%	52 points	✓	26.0	0.88
		91%	42 points	✓	16.0	0.86
		87%	38 points	✓	11.9	0.80
		86%	20 points	✓	6.0	0.78
		84%	35 points	✓	9.1	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	10.0	0.75
		82%	30 points	✓	4.3	0.71
		82%	31 points	✓	4.5	0.70
Punters		81%	28 points	✓	2.5	0.70
		81%	34 points	✓	8.0	0.70
		80%	23 points	✓	3.4	0.69
		80%	42 points	✓	16.0	0.68
		80%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.68
		80%	48 points	✓	22.0	0.68
		80%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.67
		78%	28 points	✓	2.4	0.64
		78%	32 points	✓	5.7	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	0.4	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	2.0	0.60
		74%	21 points	✓	4.9	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	3.0	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	4.2	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	5.4	0.54
		71%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.51
		70%	21 points	✓	5.2	0.48

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.