Greater Western Sydney v Western Bulldogs
2023-05-06 19:30:00 +10:00
Manuka Oval

10.11

71

13.8

86

Western Bulldogs won by 15 points

IN

Lloyd

Ward

Greene

Peatling

OUT

IN

Gardner

Liberatore

O'Brien

McNeil

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	11 points	✓	4.1	0.32
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	3.1	0.34
		75%	23 points	✓	8.5	0.59
		71%	19 points	✓	4.4	0.51
		70%	19 points	✓	4.0	0.49
		68%	15 points	✓	0.3	0.45
		68%	12 points	✓	3.0	0.45
Punters		68%	16 points	✓	0.6	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	0.8	0.44
		66%	13 points	✓	1.6	0.41
		65%	20 points	✓	5.0	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	0.0	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	1.0	0.37
		64%	10 points	✓	5.3	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	3.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	3.1	0.35
		64%	12 points	✓	3.0	0.35
		63%	10 points	✓	5.2	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	5.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	4.0	0.32
		61%	9 points	✓	5.6	0.30
		59%	8 points	✓	7.5	0.23
		57%	8 points	✓	7.5	0.20
		56%	8 points	✓	7.0	0.16
		54%	3 points	✓	12.0	0.11
		52%	2 points	✓	13.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	13.7	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.