Carlton v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
11.8
74
15.10
100
Brisbane Lions won by 26 points
IN
Motlop
Fisher
OUT
IN
Sharp
Answerth
Zorko
Rich
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.15 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.3 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 29.3 | -0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 28.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 18 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 22.8 | 0.09 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 21.9 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 19.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 20.7 | 0.18 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 19.4 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.