Gold Coast v Melbourne
2023-05-06 16:35:00 +10:00
Carrara

13.7

85

13.12

90

Melbourne won by 5 points

IN

Berry

Rosas

Casboult

Flanders

Holman

Ainsworth

Weller

Sexton

OUT

IN

Turner

Petty

Hibberd

Schache

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	18 points	✓	12.9	0.48
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	12.3	0.45
		83%	31 points	✓	26.3	0.74
		81%	30 points	✓	25.1	0.69
		80%	30 points	✓	24.9	0.68
		76%	24 points	✓	18.6	0.60
		76%	23 points	✓	17.9	0.60
		76%	24 points	✓	18.5	0.59
		74%	22 points	✓	17.4	0.57
Punters		71%	19 points	✓	14.4	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.50
		69%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	11.5	0.46
		67%	15 points	✓	10.0	0.42
		66%	16 points	✓	10.6	0.41
		66%	12 points	✓	7.2	0.39
		65%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	10.3	0.37
		63%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.33
		63%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.32
		62%	8 points	✓	3.5	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	3.6	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	3.8	0.28
		58%	7 points	✓	2.0	0.21
		57%	7 points	✓	2.0	0.19
		55%	5 points	✓	0.0	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.