Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs
2019-08-04 16:40:00
Gabba

14.14

98

11.14

80

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 18 points

IN

Andrews

Walker

OUT

IN

Schache

Suckling

McLean

Duryea

Morris

West

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	2.4	0.51
		81%	27 points	✓	9.2	0.70
		80%	28 points	✓	10.0	0.68
		78%	27 points	✓	9.0	0.63
		77%	23 points	✓	5.0	0.62
		75%	33 points	✓	15.1	0.59
		74%	24 points	✓	6.0	0.56
		74%	21 points	✓	3.0	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	3.5	0.54
		72%	23 points	✓	4.6	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	0.7	0.51
		70%	27 points	✓	9.0	0.49
Punters		70%	17 points	✓	0.8	0.48
		67%	7 points	✓	11.0	0.42
		64%	15 points	✓	3.0	0.36
		58%	8 points	✓	10.1	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	11.2	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.