Carlton v West Coast
Marvel Stadium
11.9
75
15.9
99
Match complete
West Coast won by 24 points
IN
Schumacher
Goddard
Fisher
Jones
Thomas
Dow
OUT
IN
Hurn
Watson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 16 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.41 | |
80% | 28 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.68 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.58 | ||
Punters | 74% | 20 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.57 | |
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.56 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.44 | ||
67% | 23 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 17 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.40 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.39 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.32 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.26 | ||
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.15 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 23.8 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.