Collingwood v Gold Coast
2019-08-04 13:10:00
M.C.G.

18.12

120

8.3

51

Match complete
Collingwood won by 69 points

IN

Wills

Greenwood

Adams

De Goey

Crocker

Quaynor

OUT

IN

Ballard

Ainsworth

Bowes

Martin

Joyce

Hombsch

Ellis

Heron

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		87%	42 points	✓	26.8	0.80
		96%	59 points	✓	10.1	0.94
		94%	56 points	✓	13.2	0.91
		93%	44 points	✓	25.0	0.89
		92%	48 points	✓	21.0	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	18.0	0.88
		90%	42 points	✓	27.1	0.86
		89%	46 points	✓	23.0	0.84
		88%	47 points	✓	22.3	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	27.0	0.82
		88%	59 points	✓	10.0	0.82
Punters		87%	39 points	✓	29.9	0.80
		85%	40 points	✓	29.0	0.76
		81%	37 points	✓	32.1	0.70
		80%	12 points	✓	57.0	0.67
		76%	25 points	✓	44.4	0.60
		73%	30 points	✓	39.2	0.55

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.