Adelaide v St Kilda
2019-08-03 19:40:00
Adelaide Oval

14.8

92

10.10

70

Match complete
Adelaide won by 22 points

IN

Fogarty

Douglas

Gibbs

Betts

Seedsman

Jenkins

Stengle

Wilson

OUT

IN

Parker

Battle

McKenzie

Acres

Newnes

Paton

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		72%	22 points	✓	0.1	0.53
		86%	35 points	✓	12.9	0.78
		80%	28 points	✓	6.0	0.68
		78%	39 points	✓	17.0	0.64
		76%	22 points	✓	0.0	0.60
		75%	26 points	✓	3.9	0.59
		74%	25 points	✓	3.1	0.56
		73%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.55
Punters		73%	22 points	✓	0.4	0.54
		73%	21 points	✓	1.0	0.54
		71%	22 points	✓	0.0	0.51
		71%	22 points	✓	0.3	0.50
		69%	15 points	✓	7.4	0.46
		68%	21 points	✓	0.6	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.42
		64%	7 points	✓	15.0	0.35
		61%	10 points	✓	12.5	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.