Essendon v Port Adelaide
Marvel Stadium
9.13
67
19.12
126
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 59 points
IN
Hartley
Fantasia
McKenna
McKernan
Laverde
McNiece
OUT
IN
Ladhams
Marshall
Dixon
Lycett
Howard
Garner
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 68.1 | -0.32 |
 |
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 81.0 | -1.00 |
 |
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 77.0 | -0.71 |
 |
|
66% | 20 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.50 |
 |
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.49 |
 |
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 68.9 | -0.43 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 70.4 | -0.41 |
 |
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 70.3 | -0.30 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 66.5 | -0.27 |
| Punters | |
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 66.5 | -0.24 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 65.5 | -0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 59.1 | -0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.