Melbourne v Richmond
M.C.G.
9.6
60
13.15
93
Match complete
Richmond won by 33 points
IN
Dunkley
Kennedy Harris
Preuss
Melksham
Neal-Bullen
Jetta
Wagner
Smith
OUT
IN
Butler
Caddy
Cotchin
Stack
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 70% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.48 | |
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.71 | ||
81% | 18 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.69 | ||
Punters | 80% | 25 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.68 | |
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.58 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.51 | ||
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 20 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.47 | ||
67% | 23 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.42 | ||
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 21.7 | 0.37 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 21.6 | 0.29 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.24 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 31.8 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.