North Melbourne v Hawthorn
Marvel Stadium
12.14
86
9.10
64
Match complete
North Melbourne won by 22 points
IN
Turner
Thompson
Anderson
Atley
OUT
IN
O'Brien
Ceglar
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.06 |
 |
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.33 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.12 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.12 |
 |
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.07 |
| Punters | |
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.5 | 0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 20.9 | 0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.05 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.10 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.