Port Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval
6.13
49
14.13
97
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 48 points
IN
Sutcliffe
Boak
Houston
Duursma
OUT
IN
Keays
McInerney
Walker
McCluggage
Hodge
Hipwood
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 61.7 | -0.48 |
 |
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 78.6 | -1.37 |
 |
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -1.08 |
 |
|
70% | 26 points | ✗ | 73.7 | -0.76 |
 |
|
68% | 19 points | ✗ | 66.6 | -0.66 |
| Punters | |
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.58 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 59.9 | -0.53 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.42 |
 |
|
62% | 16 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.39 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.37 |
 |
|
55% | 2 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.