Richmond v Greater Western Sydney
2019-07-14 13:10:00
M.C.G.

13.16

94

9.13

67

Match complete
Richmond won by 27 points

IN

Riewoldt

Graham

OUT

IN

Hill

Buntine

Lloyd

Whitfield

Kelly

Finlayson

Langdon

Hately

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		56%	6 points	✓	21.1	0.17
Punters		66%	16 points	✓	10.8	0.41
		65%	11 points	✓	15.8	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	14.7	0.35
		64%	12 points	✓	15.0	0.35
		61%	10 points	✓	17.1	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	16.7	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	19.0	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	19.0	0.24
		56%	6 points	✓	21.0	0.16
		55%	6 points	✓	21.0	0.14
		55%	6 points	✓	21.4	0.13
		52%	2 points	✓	24.9	0.06
		50%	0 points	✓	27.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	28.3	-0.02
		53%	2 points	✗	29.0	-0.09
		60%	10 points	✗	37.0	-0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.