Richmond v Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G.
13.16
94
9.13
67
Match complete
Richmond won by 27 points
IN
Riewoldt
Graham
OUT
IN
Hill
Buntine
Lloyd
Whitfield
Kelly
Finlayson
Langdon
Hately
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.1 | 0.17 | |
Punters | 66% | 16 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.41 | |
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.35 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 17.1 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 16.7 | 0.27 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.16 | ||
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.13 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 24.9 | 0.06 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.00 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.02 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.09 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.