Western Bulldogs v Melbourne

Marvel Stadium

74

66

Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 8 points

IN
Lever
Jetta
Gawn
McDonald
Weideman
Hore
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Western Bulldogs
57% 6 points 2.30.19
Massey Ratings
Western Bulldogs
74% 19 points 11.00.56
AFL Lab
Western Bulldogs
73% 10 points 2.00.55
Swinburne
Western Bulldogs
65% 14 points 6.00.38
Matter of Stats
Western Bulldogs
60% 7 points 0.80.25
AFL Gains
Western Bulldogs
58% 6 points 2.10.21
The Arc
Western Bulldogs
57% 6 points 2.00.20
Stattraction
Western Bulldogs
57% 8 points 0.00.19
Fat Stats
Western Bulldogs
56% 7 points 0.70.17
Footy Maths Institute
Western Bulldogs
56% 8 points 0.00.16
Squiggle
Western Bulldogs
54% 3 points 4.60.12
PlusSixOne
Western Bulldogs
54% 4 points 4.10.11
Graft
Western Bulldogs
54% 4 points 4.00.10
Punters
Western Bulldogs
52% 3 points 5.50.06
Live Ladders
Western Bulldogs
51% 1 point 7.00.03
AFLalytics
Melbourne
51% 1 point 8.8-0.02
HPN
Melbourne
59% 8 points 15.7-0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2019