Western Bulldogs v Melbourne
Marvel Stadium
10.14
74
9.12
66
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 8 points
IN
Lever
Jetta
Gawn
McDonald
Weideman
Hore
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.19 | |
74% | 19 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.56 | ||
73% | 10 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.55 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.38 | ||
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.25 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.20 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.17 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.16 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.10 | ||
Punters | 52% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.06 | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.02 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.