Hawthorn v Fremantle

York Park
12.12
84
8.5
53

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 31 points

IN
Birchall
Wingard
Gunston
Glass
OUT
IN
Nyhuis
Darcy
Hill
Sandilands
Logue
Crowden
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
65% 14 points 16.90.39
Swinburne
Hawthorn
77% 25 points 6.00.62
Graft
Hawthorn
74% 22 points 9.00.56
The Arc
Hawthorn
73% 21 points 10.00.54
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
70% 17 points 13.70.50
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
68% 16 points 15.00.45
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
68% 24 points 7.00.44
Punters
Hawthorn
66% 16 points 15.20.41
Fat Stats
Hawthorn
65% 18 points 12.50.38
AFL Gains
Hawthorn
65% 11 points 19.60.37
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
64% 10 points 21.00.35
Squiggle
Hawthorn
63% 13 points 18.40.34
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
62% 10 points 21.40.31
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
59% 3 points 28.00.25
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
59% 9 points 22.40.23
Stattraction
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 25.00.19
HPN
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 26.20.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2019