Hawthorn v Fremantle
York Park
12.12
84
8.5
53
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 31 points
IN
Birchall
Wingard
Gunston
Glass
OUT
IN
Nyhuis
Darcy
Hill
Sandilands
Logue
Crowden
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 14 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.39 | |
77% | 25 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.62 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.56 | ||
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.54 | ||
70% | 17 points | ✓ | 13.7 | 0.50 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 24 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.44 | ||
Punters | 66% | 16 points | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.41 | |
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 10 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 18.4 | 0.34 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.31 | ||
59% | 3 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 22.4 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.2 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.