Essendon v North Melbourne

Marvel Stadium

86

81

Match complete
Essendon won by 5 points

IN
Taylor
Hrovat
Macmillan
Wood
Davies-Uniacke
Durdin
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
North Melbourne
50% 0 points 5.3-0.01
AFLalytics
North Melbourne
66% 14 points 19.2-0.55
HPN
North Melbourne
60% 9 points 14.1-0.34
Live Ladders
North Melbourne
60% 9 points 14.0-0.33
Squiggle
North Melbourne
59% 8 points 12.9-0.28
Punters
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 7.5-0.08
AFL Lab
North Melbourne
52% 1 point 6.0-0.06
Graft
North Melbourne
51% 1 point 6.0-0.03
Swinburne
Essendon
50% 0 points 5.00.00
The Arc
Essendon
52% 1 point 4.00.05
Fat Stats
Essendon
53% 4 points 1.00.09
Matter of Stats
Essendon
56% 3 points 2.10.15
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
56% 8 points 3.00.16
PlusSixOne
Essendon
56% 6 points 1.40.17
Stattraction
Essendon
57% 6 points 1.00.18
Massey Ratings
Essendon
57% 5 points 0.00.19
AFL Gains
Essendon
58% 6 points 0.90.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2019