Essendon v North Melbourne
Marvel Stadium
12.14
86
12.9
81
Match complete
Essendon won by 5 points
IN
Taylor
Hrovat
Macmillan
Wood
Davies-Uniacke
Durdin
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 50% | 0 points | ✗ | 5.3 | -0.01 | |
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.55 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.34 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.33 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.28 | ||
Punters | 53% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.08 | |
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.00 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.05 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.09 | ||
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.15 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.17 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.18 | ||
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.19 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.