Gold Coast v Adelaide

Carrara

56

151

Match complete
Adelaide won by 95 points

IN
Lemmens
Rischitelli
Martin
Powell
OUT
IN
Stengle
Knight
Douglas
Gallucci
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
76% 26 points 68.90.61
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
90% 46 points 49.40.84
AFLalytics
Adelaide
89% 41 points 53.50.82
AFL Lab
Adelaide
85% 16 points 79.00.77
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
85% 33 points 62.00.76
Stattraction
Adelaide
83% 36 points 59.00.74
Punters
Adelaide
83% 35 points 60.20.73
Swinburne
Adelaide
82% 31 points 64.00.71
AFL Gains
Adelaide
80% 26 points 69.30.68
Graft
Adelaide
74% 22 points 73.00.56
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
73% 31 points 64.00.55
Squiggle
Adelaide
71% 22 points 73.00.51
Live Ladders
Adelaide
69% 18 points 77.00.46
Fat Stats
Adelaide
68% 23 points 72.20.45
The Arc
Adelaide
68% 16 points 79.00.44
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
65% 16 points 79.30.38
HPN
Adelaide
58% 7 points 88.00.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2019