Gold Coast v Adelaide
Carrara
8.8
56
23.13
151
Match complete
Adelaide won by 95 points
IN
Lemmens
Rischitelli
Martin
Powell
OUT
IN
Stengle
Knight
Douglas
Gallucci
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 76% | 26 points | ✓ | 68.9 | 0.61 | |
90% | 46 points | ✓ | 49.4 | 0.84 | ||
89% | 41 points | ✓ | 53.5 | 0.82 | ||
85% | 16 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.77 | ||
85% | 33 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.76 | ||
83% | 36 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.74 | ||
Punters | 83% | 35 points | ✓ | 60.2 | 0.73 | |
82% | 31 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.71 | ||
80% | 26 points | ✓ | 69.3 | 0.68 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 73.0 | 0.56 | ||
73% | 31 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.55 | ||
71% | 22 points | ✓ | 73.0 | 0.51 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 77.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 23 points | ✓ | 72.2 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.44 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 79.3 | 0.38 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 88.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.