Geelong v St Kilda

Kardinia Park
12.12
84
8.9
57

Match complete
Geelong won by 27 points

IN
Ratugolea
Parfitt
Kolodjashnij
Fogarty
OUT
IN
Lonie
Brown
Battle
Parker
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
86% 41 points ✓14.40.78
Massey Ratings
Geelong
96% 54 points ✓27.00.94
Swinburne
Geelong
95% 68 points ✓41.00.93
AFL Gains
Geelong
93% 48 points ✓20.60.89
Matter of Stats
Geelong
92% 50 points ✓23.40.89
AFLalytics
Geelong
90% 43 points ✓15.70.85
Punters
Geelong
88% 43 points ✓16.00.82
The Arc
Geelong
87% 42 points ✓15.00.81
Live Ladders
Geelong
86% 36 points ✓9.00.78
Graft
Geelong
86% 38 points ✓11.00.78
Fat Stats
Geelong
85% 52 points ✓25.00.77
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
85% 51 points ✓24.00.77
Stattraction
Geelong
85% 40 points ✓13.00.76
Squiggle
Geelong
80% 34 points ✓7.40.68
AFL Lab
Geelong
79% 20 points ✓7.00.67
PlusSixOne
Geelong
79% 33 points ✓5.80.66
HPN
Geelong
62% 11 points ✓16.20.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2019