Geelong v St Kilda
Kardinia Park
12.12
84
8.9
57
Match complete
Geelong won by 27 points
IN
Ratugolea
Parfitt
Kolodjashnij
Fogarty
OUT
IN
Lonie
Brown
Battle
Parker
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 86% | 41 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.78 | |
96% | 54 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.94 | ||
95% | 68 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.93 | ||
93% | 48 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.89 | ||
92% | 50 points | ✓ | 23.4 | 0.89 | ||
90% | 43 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.85 | ||
Punters | 88% | 43 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.82 | |
87% | 42 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.81 | ||
86% | 36 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.78 | ||
86% | 38 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.78 | ||
85% | 52 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.77 | ||
85% | 51 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.77 | ||
85% | 40 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.76 | ||
80% | 34 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 20 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 33 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.66 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 16.2 | 0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.