Geelong v West Coast
2019-04-28 16:40:00
Kardinia Park

15.14

104

7.4

46

Match complete
Geelong won by 58 points

IN

Constable

Tuohy

Parfitt

Clark

OUT

IN

Brander

Venables

Redden

Vardy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		74%	26 points	✓	32.4	0.57
		87%	35 points	✓	22.5	0.80
		87%	38 points	✓	20.3	0.80
		79%	29 points	✓	28.7	0.65
		78%	33 points	✓	25.0	0.64
		77%	29 points	✓	29.0	0.62
		76%	31 points	✓	26.7	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	33.0	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	34.0	0.58
		75%	23 points	✓	35.0	0.58
Punters		73%	23 points	✓	34.8	0.55
		73%	27 points	✓	31.0	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	38.0	0.52
		69%	24 points	✓	33.5	0.47
		66%	21 points	✓	37.0	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	41.5	0.40
		60%	9 points	✓	49.0	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.