St Kilda v Adelaide
Marvel Stadium
10.8
68
15.7
97
Match complete
Adelaide won by 29 points
IN
McKenzie
Longer
Geary
Marshall
OUT
IN
Poholke
Gallucci
Gibbs
Milera
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 29.2 | -0.00 |
 |
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 42.8 | -0.63 |
 |
|
63% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.44 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.17 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.4 | -0.11 |
| Punters | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 31.5 | -0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 28.9 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 28.7 | 0.01 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.17 |
 |
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 20.7 | 0.19 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 22.8 | 0.19 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.