St Kilda v Adelaide

Marvel Stadium

68

97

Match complete
Adelaide won by 29 points

IN
McKenzie
Longer
Geary
Marshall
OUT
IN
Poholke
Gallucci
Gibbs
Milera
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
St Kilda
50% 0 points 29.2-0.00
St Kilda
68% 14 points 42.8-0.63
St Kilda
63% 15 points 44.0-0.44
St Kilda
56% 5 points 34.0-0.18
St Kilda
56% 5 points 34.0-0.17
St Kilda
54% 3 points 32.4-0.11
Punters
St Kilda
53% 3 points 31.5-0.08
St Kilda
52% 2 points 31.0-0.06
Adelaide
50% 0 points 28.90.00
Adelaide
50% 0 points 28.70.01
Adelaide
53% 3 points 26.00.08
Adelaide
55% 7 points 22.00.14
Adelaide
56% 7 points 22.00.17
Adelaide
57% 8 points 20.70.19
Adelaide
57% 6 points 22.80.19
Adelaide
61% 11 points 18.00.28
Adelaide
61% 7 points 22.00.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 6, 2019