Hawthorn v Carlton

York Park

93

88

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 5 points

IN
O'Brien
Stratton
Shiels
Morrison
Mirra
Nash
OUT
IN
Cuningham
Polson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
75% 26 points 20.60.58
Hawthorn
85% 41 points 36.00.77
Hawthorn
81% 30 points 25.00.69
Hawthorn
79% 29 points 24.00.67
Hawthorn
79% 41 points 36.00.66
Hawthorn
78% 22 points 17.30.65
Hawthorn
77% 23 points 18.10.61
Hawthorn
76% 32 points 26.90.61
Hawthorn
75% 33 points 27.60.59
Hawthorn
75% 29 points 24.00.58
Hawthorn
74% 22 points 17.00.56
Hawthorn
74% 22 points 17.20.56
Hawthorn
73% 19 points 13.90.55
Hawthorn
73% 22 points 17.00.55
Punters
Hawthorn
72% 22 points 16.50.53
Hawthorn
68% 18 points 13.40.44
Hawthorn
58% 4 points 1.00.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 6, 2019