Hawthorn v Carlton
2019-04-28 15:20:00
York Park

13.15

93

13.10

88

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 5 points

IN

O'Brien

Stratton

Shiels

Morrison

Mirra

Nash

OUT

IN

Cuningham

Polson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		75%	26 points	✓	20.6	0.58
		85%	41 points	✓	36.0	0.77
		81%	30 points	✓	25.0	0.69
		79%	29 points	✓	24.0	0.67
		79%	41 points	✓	36.0	0.66
		78%	22 points	✓	17.3	0.65
		77%	23 points	✓	18.1	0.61
		76%	32 points	✓	26.9	0.61
		75%	33 points	✓	27.6	0.59
		75%	29 points	✓	24.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	17.0	0.56
		74%	22 points	✓	17.2	0.56
		73%	19 points	✓	13.9	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	17.0	0.55
Punters		72%	22 points	✓	16.5	0.53
		68%	18 points	✓	13.4	0.44
		58%	4 points	✓	1.0	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.