Port Adelaide v North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
12.16
88
11.6
72
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 16 points
IN
Lienert
Jonas
OUT
IN
Larkey
Thomas
Hrovat
McDonald
Higgins
Simpkin
Ahern
Scott
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 77% | 29 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.62 | |
93% | 55 points | ✓ | 39.4 | 0.89 | ||
85% | 36 points | ✓ | 20.1 | 0.77 | ||
85% | 32 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.76 | ||
84% | 50 points | ✓ | 33.7 | 0.75 | ||
84% | 44 points | ✓ | 28.4 | 0.74 | ||
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.65 | ||
Punters | 77% | 27 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.63 | |
77% | 26 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 29 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.58 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.52 | ||
72% | 22 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.52 | ||
70% | 27 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.47 | ||
65% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.