Essendon v Collingwood

M.C.G.

69

73

Match complete
Collingwood won by 4 points

IN
Smith
Zaharakis
Fantasia
Ham
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Hoskin-Elliott
Elliott
Aish
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
58% 8 points 3.80.21
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
75% 23 points 19.20.59
AFLalytics
Collingwood
71% 20 points 15.70.50
Punters
Collingwood
63% 12 points 7.50.34
Squiggle
Collingwood
63% 15 points 10.80.33
Stattraction
Collingwood
62% 13 points 9.00.32
Live Ladders
Collingwood
62% 10 points 6.00.31
HPN
Collingwood
59% 8 points 3.60.23
Graft
Collingwood
58% 8 points 4.00.22
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
56% 8 points 4.00.16
The Arc
Collingwood
56% 5 points 1.00.16
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
54% 4 points 0.10.11
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
54% 4 points 0.00.11
Swinburne
Collingwood
53% 3 points 1.00.08
AFL Gains
Essendon
52% 1 point 5.2-0.05
AFL Lab
Essendon
53% 1 point 5.0-0.09
Fat Stats
Essendon
54% 5 points 8.8-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 6, 2019