Essendon v Collingwood
M.C.G.
10.9
69
10.13
73
Match complete
Collingwood won by 4 points
IN
Smith
Zaharakis
Fantasia
Ham
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Hoskin-Elliott
Elliott
Aish
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 58% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.21 | |
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 19.2 | 0.59 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.50 | ||
Punters | 63% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.34 | |
63% | 15 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.32 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.31 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.23 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.22 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.16 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.11 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.2 | -0.05 | ||
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.09 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.