Essendon v Collingwood

M.C.G.

69

73

Match complete
Collingwood won by 4 points

IN
Smith
Zaharakis
Fantasia
Ham
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Hoskin-Elliott
Elliott
Aish
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
58% 8 points 3.80.21
Collingwood
75% 23 points 19.20.59
Collingwood
71% 20 points 15.70.50
Punters
Collingwood
63% 12 points 7.50.34
Collingwood
63% 15 points 10.80.33
Collingwood
62% 13 points 9.00.32
Collingwood
62% 10 points 6.00.31
Collingwood
59% 8 points 3.60.23
Collingwood
58% 8 points 4.00.22
Collingwood
56% 8 points 4.00.16
Collingwood
56% 5 points 1.00.16
Collingwood
54% 4 points 0.10.11
Collingwood
54% 4 points 0.00.11
Collingwood
53% 3 points 1.00.08
Essendon
52% 1 points 5.2-0.05
Essendon
53% 1 points 5.0-0.09
Essendon
54% 5 points 8.8-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 6, 2019