Richmond v Melbourne
2019-04-24 19:35:00
M.C.G.

12.13

85

6.6

42

Match complete
Richmond won by 43 points

IN

Riewoldt

Bolton

OUT

IN

Lockhart

Smith

Stretch

Garlett

Neal-Bullen

Jetta

Spargo

Wagner

Preuss

Wagner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	34.7	0.23
		71%	19 points	✓	24.0	0.51
		70%	23 points	✓	19.8	0.48
		65%	14 points	✓	29.0	0.38
Punters		64%	14 points	✓	29.2	0.37
		63%	14 points	✓	29.0	0.33
		62%	6 points	✓	37.0	0.30
		60%	9 points	✓	34.0	0.27
		59%	7 points	✓	36.1	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	34.7	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	35.0	0.22
		57%	8 points	✓	34.6	0.19
		55%	7 points	✓	36.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	38.9	0.13
		52%	2 points	✓	41.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	42.4	0.02
		64%	12 points	✗	55.2	-0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.