Sydney v Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G.
12.7
79
18.12
120
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 41 points
IN
Blakey
Melican
Franklin
Jack
OUT
IN
Corr
Greene
Davis
Hately
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 16 points | ✓ | 24.7 | 0.40 | |
82% | 41 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.71 | ||
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.66 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 15 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.51 | ||
70% | 22 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.49 | ||
Punters | 70% | 19 points | ✓ | 22.5 | 0.48 | |
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 21.9 | 0.48 | ||
65% | 20 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.33 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.23 | ||
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 31.7 | 0.20 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.2 | 0.11 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 39.9 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.