Hawthorn v Geelong
M.C.G.
13.12
90
17.11
113
Match complete
Geelong won by 23 points
IN
Lewis
Brand
O'Meara
Frawley
Stratton
Ceglar
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Constable
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 10 points | ✓ | 12.7 | 0.27 | |
76% | 27 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.61 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.44 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.35 | ||
Punters | 64% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.35 | |
63% | 18 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.33 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.30 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.30 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.26 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 16.4 | 0.18 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.07 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.04 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.8 | -0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.