Hawthorn v Geelong

M.C.G.

90

113

Match complete
Geelong won by 23 points

IN
Lewis
Brand
O'Meara
Frawley
Stratton
Ceglar
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Constable
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
60% 10 points 12.70.27
Geelong
76% 27 points 4.00.61
Geelong
68% 19 points 4.00.44
Geelong
65% 13 points 10.00.37
Geelong
64% 13 points 10.30.35
Punters
Geelong
64% 13 points 10.20.35
Geelong
63% 18 points 5.00.33
Geelong
63% 10 points 13.20.33
Geelong
62% 14 points 9.20.30
Geelong
62% 10 points 13.20.30
Geelong
60% 10 points 13.00.26
Geelong
60% 8 points 15.00.26
Geelong
60% 9 points 14.00.26
Geelong
57% 7 points 16.40.18
Geelong
52% 2 points 21.00.07
Geelong
51% 2 points 21.40.04
Hawthorn
60% 9 points 31.8-0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019