Hawthorn v Geelong

M.C.G.
13.12
90
17.11
113

Match complete
Geelong won by 23 points

IN
Lewis
Brand
O'Meara
Frawley
Stratton
Ceglar
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Constable
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
60% 10 points 12.70.27
Stattraction
Geelong
76% 27 points 4.00.61
AFL Lab
Geelong
68% 19 points 4.00.44
Graft
Geelong
65% 13 points 10.00.37
Matter of Stats
Geelong
64% 13 points 10.30.35
Punters
Geelong
64% 13 points 10.20.35
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
63% 18 points 5.00.33
AFL Gains
Geelong
63% 10 points 13.20.33
Squiggle
Geelong
62% 14 points 9.20.30
AFLalytics
Geelong
62% 10 points 13.20.30
Swinburne
Geelong
60% 10 points 13.00.26
The Arc
Geelong
60% 8 points 15.00.26
Massey Ratings
Geelong
60% 9 points 14.00.26
PlusSixOne
Geelong
57% 7 points 16.40.18
Live Ladders
Geelong
52% 2 points 21.00.07
Fat Stats
Geelong
51% 2 points 21.40.04
HPN
Hawthorn
60% 9 points 31.8-0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019