Western Bulldogs v Carlton
Marvel Stadium
7.15
57
15.11
101
Match complete
Carlton won by 44 points
IN
Hayes
Young
Williams
Suckling
Duryea
Schache
OUT
IN
Polson
Silvagni
Kreuzer
Curnow
Lobbe
Setterfield
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.76 |
 |
|
87% | 45 points | ✗ | 89.0 | -1.92 |
 |
|
83% | 38 points | ✗ | 82.0 | -1.56 |
 |
|
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 74.3 | -1.34 |
 |
|
78% | 39 points | ✗ | 82.7 | -1.21 |
 |
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -1.18 |
 |
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -1.17 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.74 |
| Punters | |
70% | 20 points | ✗ | 63.5 | -0.74 |
 |
|
70% | 26 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
70% | 8 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.73 |
 |
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.68 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.62 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 58.9 | -0.49 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.42 |
 |
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 38.8 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.