Western Bulldogs v Carlton

Marvel Stadium

57

101

Match complete
Carlton won by 44 points

IN
Hayes
Young
Williams
Suckling
Duryea
Schache
OUT
IN
Polson
Silvagni
Kreuzer
Curnow
Lobbe
Setterfield
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Western Bulldogs
71% 21 points 65.0-0.76
Western Bulldogs
87% 45 points 89.0-1.92
Western Bulldogs
83% 38 points 82.0-1.56
Western Bulldogs
80% 30 points 74.3-1.34
Western Bulldogs
78% 39 points 82.7-1.21
Western Bulldogs
78% 27 points 71.0-1.18
Western Bulldogs
78% 25 points 69.0-1.17
Western Bulldogs
70% 18 points 62.0-0.74
Punters
Western Bulldogs
70% 20 points 63.5-0.74
Western Bulldogs
70% 26 points 70.0-0.74
Western Bulldogs
70% 8 points 52.0-0.73
Western Bulldogs
69% 15 points 59.0-0.68
Western Bulldogs
68% 16 points 60.0-0.62
Western Bulldogs
65% 15 points 58.9-0.49
Western Bulldogs
63% 11 points 55.0-0.42
Western Bulldogs
57% 9 points 53.0-0.23
Carlton
57% 5 points 38.80.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019