North Melbourne v Essendon

Marvel Stadium

58

116

Match complete
Essendon won by 58 points

IN
Scott
Wright
McDonald
Thomas
OUT
IN
Ham
Guelfi
Daniher
Zaharakis
Smith
Clarke
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
56% 6 points 52.00.16
Essendon
65% 15 points 43.00.38
Essendon
64% 16 points 42.00.37
Essendon
64% 13 points 45.00.36
Essendon
62% 15 points 43.00.31
Essendon
61% 5 points 53.00.28
Essendon
59% 8 points 50.00.23
Essendon
59% 10 points 47.60.23
Punters
Essendon
57% 7 points 51.50.20
Essendon
57% 7 points 51.10.19
Essendon
55% 5 points 53.00.13
Essendon
53% 3 points 55.10.08
Essendon
51% 2 points 56.50.04
Essendon
50% 0 points 57.70.01
North Melbourne
50% 0 points 58.0-0.01
North Melbourne
57% 3 points 61.4-0.20
North Melbourne
59% 7 points 64.8-0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019