North Melbourne v Essendon
2019-04-19 16:20:00
Marvel Stadium

7.16

58

17.14

116

Match complete
Essendon won by 58 points

IN

Scott

Wright

McDonald

Thomas

OUT

IN

Ham

Guelfi

Daniher

Zaharakis

Smith

Clarke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		56%	6 points	✓	52.0	0.16
		65%	15 points	✓	43.0	0.38
		64%	16 points	✓	42.0	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	45.0	0.36
		62%	15 points	✓	43.0	0.31
		61%	5 points	✓	53.0	0.28
		59%	8 points	✓	50.0	0.23
		59%	10 points	✓	47.6	0.23
Punters		57%	7 points	✓	51.5	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	51.1	0.19
		55%	5 points	✓	53.0	0.13
		53%	3 points	✓	55.1	0.08
		51%	2 points	✓	56.5	0.04
		50%	0 points	✓	57.7	0.01
		50%	0 points	✗	58.0	-0.01
		57%	3 points	✗	61.4	-0.20
		59%	7 points	✗	64.8	-0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.