Adelaide v Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval
18.11
119
6.10
46
Match complete
Adelaide won by 73 points
IN
Himmelberg
Gibbs
Greenwood
Jenkins
Poholke
Jones
OUT
IN
Brodie
Horlin-Smith
Miles
Powell
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 31 points | ✓ | 42.3 | 0.64 | |
91% | 46 points | ✓ | 27.5 | 0.86 | ||
87% | 56 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.80 | ||
87% | 41 points | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.79 | ||
86% | 41 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.79 | ||
86% | 36 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.78 | ||
84% | 40 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.75 | ||
83% | 33 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.72 | ||
81% | 31 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.70 | ||
Punters | 81% | 34 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.69 | |
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.66 | ||
76% | 32 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.60 | ||
74% | 31 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.56 | ||
71% | 22 points | ✓ | 50.9 | 0.50 | ||
70% | 10 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.49 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 62.1 | 0.32 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 73.9 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.