Adelaide v Gold Coast

Adelaide Oval

119

46

Match complete
Adelaide won by 73 points

IN
Himmelberg
Gibbs
Greenwood
Jenkins
Poholke
Jones
OUT
IN
Brodie
Horlin-Smith
Miles
Powell
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
78% 31 points 42.30.64
Adelaide
91% 46 points 27.50.86
Adelaide
87% 56 points 17.00.80
Adelaide
87% 41 points 32.20.79
Adelaide
86% 41 points 32.00.79
Adelaide
86% 36 points 37.00.78
Adelaide
84% 40 points 33.00.75
Adelaide
83% 33 points 40.00.72
Adelaide
81% 31 points 42.00.70
Punters
Adelaide
81% 34 points 39.00.69
Adelaide
79% 29 points 44.00.66
Adelaide
76% 32 points 41.00.60
Adelaide
74% 31 points 42.00.56
Adelaide
71% 22 points 50.90.50
Adelaide
70% 10 points 63.00.49
Adelaide
62% 11 points 62.10.32
Gold Coast
51% 1 points 73.9-0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019