Melbourne v St Kilda
M.C.G.
7.13
55
15.5
95
Match complete
St Kilda won by 40 points
IN
Jetta
Lewis
McDonald
Stretch
OUT
IN
Geary
Steven
McKenzie
Clark
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.54 |
 |
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -1.38 |
 |
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 60.6 | -1.00 |
 |
|
72% | 30 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.84 |
 |
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 61.3 | -0.81 |
 |
|
70% | 20 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
70% | 22 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.72 |
 |
|
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.71 |
 |
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.70 |
| Punters | |
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 55.8 | -0.57 |
 |
|
66% | 7 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.55 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.35 |
 |
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 51.9 | -0.32 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.29 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.26 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -0.09 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 36.6 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.