Melbourne v St Kilda

M.C.G.

55

95

Match complete
St Kilda won by 40 points

IN
Jetta
Lewis
McDonald
Stretch
OUT
IN
Geary
Steven
McKenzie
Clark
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
66% 15 points 55.0-0.54
Melbourne
81% 29 points 69.0-1.38
Melbourne
75% 21 points 60.6-1.00
Melbourne
72% 30 points 70.0-0.84
Melbourne
71% 21 points 61.3-0.81
Melbourne
70% 20 points 60.0-0.74
Melbourne
70% 22 points 62.0-0.72
Melbourne
69% 19 points 59.0-0.71
Melbourne
69% 18 points 58.0-0.70
Punters
Melbourne
66% 16 points 55.8-0.57
Melbourne
66% 7 points 47.0-0.55
Melbourne
61% 11 points 51.0-0.35
Melbourne
60% 12 points 51.9-0.32
Melbourne
59% 8 points 48.0-0.29
Melbourne
58% 7 points 47.0-0.26
Melbourne
53% 2 points 42.4-0.09
St Kilda
52% 3 points 36.60.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019