Brisbane Lions v Collingwood

Gabba

61

123

Match complete
Collingwood won by 62 points

IN
Beams
Mayne
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
57% 6 points 55.80.18
Collingwood
68% 16 points 45.90.45
Collingwood
64% 6 points 56.00.36
Collingwood
61% 11 points 51.00.29
Collingwood
61% 10 points 52.00.28
Collingwood
59% 9 points 52.80.24
Collingwood
58% 8 points 54.40.22
Collingwood
58% 8 points 54.00.20
Collingwood
58% 9 points 53.00.20
Punters
Collingwood
57% 7 points 54.80.19
Collingwood
57% 10 points 52.00.19
Collingwood
57% 6 points 56.00.18
Collingwood
57% 5 points 57.10.18
Collingwood
56% 5 points 57.00.15
Collingwood
51% 2 points 60.20.02
Collingwood
51% 0 points 62.00.01
Brisbane Lions
64% 12 points 74.3-0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019