Greater Western Sydney v Fremantle

Manuka Oval

82

106

Match complete
Fremantle won by 24 points

IN
Hately
Ward
OUT
IN
Cox
Fyfe
McCarthy
Schultz
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
77% 29 points 53.3-1.13
Greater Western Sydney
86% 44 points 68.0-1.84
Greater Western Sydney
85% 36 points 60.0-1.78
Greater Western Sydney
85% 37 points 61.0-1.74
Greater Western Sydney
84% 34 points 58.0-1.69
Greater Western Sydney
84% 34 points 58.0-1.68
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
84% 35 points 59.0-1.64
Greater Western Sydney
81% 33 points 57.0-1.38
Greater Western Sydney
80% 29 points 52.9-1.34
Greater Western Sydney
78% 40 points 64.0-1.18
Greater Western Sydney
76% 34 points 58.1-1.06
Greater Western Sydney
75% 23 points 47.0-0.98
Greater Western Sydney
74% 24 points 48.4-0.94
Greater Western Sydney
74% 22 points 46.1-0.92
Greater Western Sydney
73% 28 points 51.8-0.87
Greater Western Sydney
64% 14 points 38.1-0.46
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 25.8-0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2019