Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Footy Forensics: Hawthorn to Western Bulldogs

Posted on June 1, 2017 by Max Barry

Don’t miss Part 2 of Matt Cowgill’s amazing graphgasm smorgasbord over at ESPN:

A deep dive into footy data turns up the graph that tells your team’s story so far in 2017. This week, we analyse Hawthorn through to the Western Bulldogs.

Source: Footy Forensics Your AFL club’s key game trend part II

CategoriesUncategorized TagsThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Squiggle on Round 10
Next PostNext Are West Coast too Dependent on Kennedy?

Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.4 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.3 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.8 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.3 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Geelong 13.9 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Adelaide 14.0 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Melbourne 12.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Western Bulldogs 12.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Collingwood 11.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 Carlton 11.3 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
11
 Gold Coast 10.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 St Kilda 10.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 North Melbourne 10.7 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–14
14
 GWS 10.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.9 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.1 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.8 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 3.0 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 17, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 14∗ 1 – 148.2%
+5.4
1
2
 Sydney 13 3 – 136.9%
+4.3
2
3
 Hawthorn 10∗ 4 1 113.7%
+5.3
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 10 6 – 111.7%
+4.3
4
5
 Adelaide 10 6 – 111.4%
+4.0
6
6
 Geelong 9 7 – 117.1%
+4.9
5
7
 Melbourne 9∗ 6 – 104.2%
+3.9
7
8
 Western Bulldogs 9 7 – 90.8%
+3.8
8
9
 North Melbourne 8∗ 7 – 92.2%
+2.7
13
10
 Collingwood 7∗ 7 1 104.3%
+3.8
9
11
 Gold Coast 7∗ 8 – 101.2%
+3.8
11
12
 Carlton 7∗ 8 – 95.6%
+4.3
10
13
 St Kilda 6∗ 9 – 100.6%
+4.4
12
14
 GWS 6∗ 9 – 99.3%
+4.0
14
15
 Port Adelaide 5∗ 10 – 100.8%
+3.9
15
16
 West Coast 4 12 – 71.5%
+2.1
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 13 – 61.8%
+1.8
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 14 – 71.0%
+2.0
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 2

106 33.4130 33.41 25.0257 25.03 76.8116 76.8%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 2

104 32.6392 32.64 24.5909 24.59 75.3623 75.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 2

104 22.7976 22.80 25.1608 25.16 75.3623 75.4%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 2

102 33.4004 33.40 25.2500 25.25 73.9130 73.9%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 2

102 32.9731 32.97 25.8986 25.90 73.9130 73.9%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 2

101 34.2961 34.30 25.0858 25.09 73.1884 73.2%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 2

101 31.8974 31.90 25.1598 25.16 73.1884 73.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 2

101 31.8899 31.89 25.4355 25.44 73.1884 73.2%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 2

101 28.5613 28.56 25.8978 25.90 73.1884 73.2%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 2

100 34.8038 34.80 25.5594 25.56 72.4638 72.5%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 2

100 30.0130 30.01 25.4477 25.45 72.4638 72.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 2

99 32.0353 32.04 26.7246 26.72 71.7391 71.7%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 2

99 31.6689 31.67 25.8927 25.89 71.7391 71.7%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 2

98 32.3739 32.37 26.1179 26.12 71.0145 71.0%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 2

98 28.8604 28.86 25.5246 25.52 71.0145 71.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 2

98 26.6405 26.64 27.2604 27.26 †1 71.5328 71.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 2

97 32.2770 32.28 24.9438 24.94 70.2899 70.3%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 2

97 31.9212 31.92 25.2167 25.22 70.2899 70.3%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 2

97 31.7007 31.70 26.1522 26.15 70.2899 70.3%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

97 30.3079 30.31 25.5962 25.60 70.2899 70.3%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 2

95 30.1145 30.11 26.9843 26.98 68.8406 68.8%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 2

95 24.9997 25.00 25.8725 25.87 68.8406 68.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 2

94 30.2067 30.21 25.5942 25.59 68.1159 68.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 2

94 27.7751 27.78 25.5486 25.55 68.1159 68.1%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 2

94 25.6451 25.65 26.5083 26.51 68.1159 68.1%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 2

93 28.1403 28.14 27.1449 27.14 67.3913 67.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 2

93 27.3366 27.34 25.8859 25.89 67.3913 67.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 2

92 24.5775 24.58 26.9130 26.91 66.6667 66.7%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2

90 25.9461 25.95 26.3101 26.31 †9 69.7674 69.8%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5

87 22.0907 22.09 26.9587 26.96 †17 71.9008 71.9%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 2

80 27.1605 27.16 26.6770 26.68 †25 70.7965 70.8%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.