Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Footy Forensics: Hawthorn to Western Bulldogs

Posted on June 1, 2017 by Max Barry

Don’t miss Part 2 of Matt Cowgill’s amazing graphgasm smorgasbord over at ESPN:

A deep dive into footy data turns up the graph that tells your team’s story so far in 2017. This week, we analyse Hawthorn through to the Western Bulldogs.

Source: Footy Forensics Your AFL club’s key game trend part II

CategoriesUncategorized TagsThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Squiggle on Round 10
Next PostNext Are West Coast too Dependent on Kennedy?

Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.1 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.2 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.9 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Geelong 14.6 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Adelaide 14.6 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Brisbane Lions 13.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Western Bulldogs 13.1 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Melbourne 12.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Gold Coast 11.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
10
 Collingwood 11.1 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
11
 Carlton 11.0 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
12
 St Kilda 10.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
13
 North Melbourne 10.4 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
14
 GWS 9.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 7.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.6 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 4.0 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Essendon 3.4 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After 2 games of Round 16, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 13∗ 1 – 144.4%
+6.1
1
2
 Sydney 12 3 – 135.7%
+5.2
2
3
 Hawthorn 10 4 1 113.7%
+5.4
3
4
 Geelong 9 6 – 120.6%
+5.6
4
5
 Adelaide 9∗ 5 – 113.2%
+5.6
5
6
 Brisbane Lions 9 6 – 111.0%
+4.7
6
7
 Melbourne 9 6 – 104.2%
+3.9
8
8
 Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 92.8%
+4.1
7
9
 Gold Coast 7∗ 7 – 105.3%
+4.0
9
10
 North Melbourne 7∗ 7 – 90.7%
+3.4
13
11
 Collingwood 6∗ 7 1 101.6%
+4.6
10
12
 St Kilda 6 9 – 100.6%
+4.4
12
13
 GWS 6 9 – 99.3%
+3.9
14
14
 Carlton 6∗ 8 – 91.1%
+5.0
11
15
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 10 – 98.6%
+3.9
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 10 – 72.7%
+2.6
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 12 – 61.3%
+2.0
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 13 – 70.4%
+2.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 2

100 30.7519 30.75 25.4260 25.43 76.9231 76.9%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 1

98 30.3764 30.38 24.9583 24.96 75.3846 75.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 1

98 20.8101 20.81 25.6928 25.69 75.3846 75.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 2

96 31.0317 31.03 26.1615 26.16 73.8462 73.8%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

96 30.9447 30.94 25.6652 25.67 73.8462 73.8%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 2

95 32.0062 32.01 25.4342 25.43 73.0769 73.1%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 2

95 29.8052 29.81 25.8782 25.88 73.0769 73.1%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

95 29.5660 29.57 25.5675 25.57 73.0769 73.1%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 2

95 26.6008 26.60 26.3084 26.31 73.0769 73.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

94 31.8102 31.81 25.9762 25.98 72.3077 72.3%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 1

94 28.1565 28.16 25.7822 25.78 72.3077 72.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 1

93 29.3729 29.37 27.4077 27.41 71.5385 71.5%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

93 29.3631 29.36 26.2673 26.27 71.5385 71.5%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 2

92 29.8687 29.87 26.6558 26.66 70.7692 70.8%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 2

92 26.9856 26.99 25.8223 25.82 70.7692 70.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 1

92 25.0934 25.09 27.5295 27.53 †1 71.3178 71.3%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 2

91 29.7813 29.78 25.7548 25.75 70.0000 70.0%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 2

91 29.6959 29.70 25.4557 25.46 70.0000 70.0%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 2

91 28.9940 28.99 26.6385 26.64 70.0000 70.0%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 1

91 28.3844 28.38 25.9175 25.92 70.0000 70.0%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 2

89 28.0579 28.06 27.3602 27.36 68.4615 68.5%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 2

89 23.1775 23.18 26.2877 26.29 68.4615 68.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 1

88 27.6941 27.69 26.0077 26.01 67.6923 67.7%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 1

88 24.9157 24.92 25.9885 25.99 67.6923 67.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 1

88 23.8541 23.85 26.9472 26.95 67.6923 67.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 1

87 26.5058 26.51 27.5154 27.52 66.9231 66.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 1

87 25.6904 25.69 26.1992 26.20 66.9231 66.9%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5

87 22.0907 22.09 26.9587 26.96 †9 71.9008 71.9%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 2

86 22.5639 22.56 26.7923 26.79 66.1538 66.2%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 1

84 23.4346 23.43 26.6446 26.64 †9 69.4215 69.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 2

74 23.9598 23.96 27.2048 27.20 †25 70.4762 70.5%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.