Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Footy Forensics: Hawthorn to Western Bulldogs

Posted on June 1, 2017 by Max Barry

Don’t miss Part 2 of Matt Cowgill’s amazing graphgasm smorgasbord over at ESPN:

A deep dive into footy data turns up the graph that tells your team’s story so far in 2017. This week, we analyse Hawthorn through to the Western Bulldogs.

Source: Footy Forensics Your AFL club’s key game trend part II

CategoriesUncategorized TagsThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Squiggle on Round 10
Next PostNext Are West Coast too Dependent on Kennedy?

Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.0 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 18.0 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16.0 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
4
Hawthorn 16.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
5
Geelong 15.0 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Adelaide 15.0 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
7
Melbourne 15.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
8
Western Bulldogs 13.5 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
Collingwood 13.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Carlton 12.5 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
St Kilda 10.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
GWS 10.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
Gold Coast 9.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
North Melbourne 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Port Adelaide 7.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 4.0 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.0 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.0 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After Round 28, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 19 4 – 137.2%
+0.0
1
2
Sydney 18 5 – 136.1%
+-0.0
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16 7 – 121.7%
+-0.0
3
4
Hawthorn 15 6 2 120.1%
+0.0
4
5
Geelong 15 8 – 122.3%
+-0.0
5
6
Adelaide 15 8 – 117.3%
+-0.0
6
7
Melbourne 15 8 – 109.6%
+0.0
7
8
Western Bulldogs 13 9 1 95.4%
+-0.0
8
9
Collingwood 12 9 2 102.4%
+0.0
9
10
Carlton 12 10 1 101.5%
+-0.0
10
11
St Kilda 10 13 – 102.8%
+0.0
11
12
GWS 10 13 – 98.9%
+0.0
12
13
Gold Coast 9 14 – 94.5%
+-0.0
13
14
North Melbourne 9 14 – 88.8%
+0.0
14
15
Port Adelaide 7 16 – 88.0%
+-0.0
15
16
West Coast 4 19 – 69.2%
+0.0
16
17
Richmond 3 20 – 62.5%
+0.0
17
18
Essendon 2 21 – 64.6%
+0.0
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 6 9 5 0 2 2 1 1

163 51.7428 51.74 25.0618 25.06 74.7706 74.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 6 9 6 0 2 2 1 1

163 35.2708 35.27 25.3165 25.32 74.7706 74.8%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 6 1 2 2 2 1

162 53.5608 53.56 24.9567 24.96 74.3119 74.3%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 5 9 6 0 2 2 0 1

160 54.1993 54.20 24.8902 24.89 73.3945 73.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4 9 6 0 3 2 0 0

159 51.9975 52.00 25.7798 25.78 72.9358 72.9%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4 9 6 0 2 2 0 1

159 51.5743 51.57 24.6193 24.62 72.9358 72.9%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 6 0 3 2 0 1

159 51.4490 51.45 24.9566 24.96 72.9358 72.9%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 7 9 5 0 2 2 0 1

159 48.7975 48.80 25.3106 25.31 72.9358 72.9%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 5 9 5 0 3 2 0 1

158 52.8099 52.81 24.7556 24.76 72.4771 72.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 6 0 3 2 0 1

157 52.3575 52.36 26.0688 26.07 72.0183 72.0%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 5 9 6 0 3 2 0 0

157 49.3233 49.32 25.8211 25.82 72.0183 72.0%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6 0 2 2 1 0

156 55.1990 55.20 25.4052 25.41 71.5596 71.6%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6 0 3 2 1 0

155 53.0113 53.01 25.5138 25.51 71.1009 71.1%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 6 9 6 1 2 2 1 0

155 40.3767 40.38 26.1567 26.16 †1 71.4286 71.4%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 4 9 6 1 2 2 0 1

154 50.4215 50.42 25.1605 25.16 70.6422 70.6%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 5 0 3 2 0 1

154 49.5334 49.53 25.4009 25.40 70.6422 70.6%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 9 7 0 2 1 1 1

154 48.6483 48.65 25.2482 25.25 70.6422 70.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 6 8 6 1 3 2 0 0

154 46.0162 46.02 26.0189 26.02 70.6422 70.6%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 9 6 1 3 1 0 1

154 41.3444 41.34 25.6596 25.66 70.6422 70.6%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6 0 3 2 0 0

153 50.4689 50.47 25.2175 25.22 70.1835 70.2%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 6

153 48.8410 48.84 25.6301 25.63 †11 73.9130 73.9%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 4 9 6 0 2 2 0 1

152 50.5450 50.55 25.8821 25.88 †5 71.3615 71.4%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 9 5 1 1 2 0 0

152 46.9080 46.91 24.9176 24.92 †2 70.3704 70.4%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 4 9 6 1 2 1 2 1

151 49.6946 49.69 26.3044 26.30 69.2661 69.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 5 1 3 2 0 1

151 46.6839 46.68 26.3991 26.40 69.2661 69.3%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 6 9 5 1 3 2 0 1

151 46.5812 46.58 26.2523 26.25 69.2661 69.3%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 6 9 6 1 3 2 0

150 43.9493 43.95 25.9904 25.99 †10 72.1154 72.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 6 9 5 1 1 2 0 1

149 46.3279 46.33 25.8211 25.82 68.3486 68.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 4 8 6 0 3 2 0 1

147 43.1900 43.19 26.0098 26.01 67.4312 67.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 9 6 0 3 1

147 39.9318 39.93 26.9472 26.95 †3 68.3721 68.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 5 9 6 1 3 2 1 0

139 46.4828 46.48 26.2047 26.20 †25 72.0207 72.0%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.