Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Footy Forensics: Hawthorn to Western Bulldogs

Posted on June 1, 2017 by Max Barry

Don’t miss Part 2 of Matt Cowgill’s amazing graphgasm smorgasbord over at ESPN:

A deep dive into footy data turns up the graph that tells your team’s story so far in 2017. This week, we analyse Hawthorn through to the Western Bulldogs.

Source: Footy Forensics Your AFL club’s key game trend part II

CategoriesUncategorized TagsThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Squiggle on Round 10
Next PostNext Are West Coast too Dependent on Kennedy?

Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 18.9 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.0 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.0 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Adelaide 14.1 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 Geelong 13.8 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
7
 Melbourne 13.8 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
8
 Western Bulldogs 12.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Collingwood 12.3 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Carlton 11.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
11
 St Kilda 10.9 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
12
 GWS 10.8 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
13
 Gold Coast 10.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 North Melbourne 10.1 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
15
 Port Adelaide 9.2 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.0 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.6 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 2.6 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 2 games of Round 18, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 15 2 – 142.3%
+3.9
1
2
 Sydney 13 4 – 131.2%
+4.0
2
3
 Hawthorn 10∗ 5 1 110.0%
+4.5
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 10∗ 6 – 111.7%
+4.5
4
5
 Adelaide 10∗ 6 – 111.4%
+4.1
5
6
 Melbourne 10∗ 6 – 106.3%
+3.8
7
7
 Collingwood 9 7 1 104.5%
+2.8
9
8
 Geelong 9∗ 7 – 117.1%
+4.8
6
9
 Western Bulldogs 9∗ 7 – 90.8%
+3.8
8
10
 Carlton 8∗ 8 – 96.0%
+3.4
10
11
 North Melbourne 8 9 – 91.4%
+2.1
14
12
 St Kilda 7∗ 9 – 105.5%
+3.9
11
13
 GWS 7∗ 9 – 100.8%
+3.8
12
14
 Gold Coast 7∗ 9 – 100.7%
+3.0
13
15
 Port Adelaide 6∗ 10 – 102.5%
+3.2
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 12 – 71.5%
+2.0
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 14 – 63.3%
+1.6
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 15 – 69.0%
+1.6
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

111 34.6131 34.61 25.0568 25.06 76.0274 76.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 2

109 33.2846 33.28 24.7563 24.76 74.6575 74.7%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 2

109 23.6629 23.66 25.1551 25.16 74.6575 74.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 2

108 34.3483 34.35 25.9863 25.99 73.9726 74.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

107 34.6571 34.66 25.3924 25.39 73.2877 73.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

106 35.3518 35.35 25.1991 25.20 72.6027 72.6%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

106 33.2782 33.28 25.5489 25.55 72.6027 72.6%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

106 32.9853 32.99 25.3149 25.31 72.6027 72.6%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 2

106 29.6456 29.65 26.0968 26.10 72.6027 72.6%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

105 35.6572 35.66 25.7401 25.74 71.9178 71.9%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 2

105 30.7262 30.73 25.6142 25.61 71.9178 71.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 2

104 33.3172 33.32 26.7671 26.77 71.2329 71.2%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

104 32.5263 32.53 26.1586 26.16 71.2329 71.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 2

103 33.3453 33.35 26.2695 26.27 70.5479 70.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 2

103 33.3322 33.33 25.2210 25.22 70.5479 70.5%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 2

103 32.1100 32.11 26.3493 26.35 70.5479 70.5%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 1

103 28.8782 28.88 25.5945 25.59 70.5479 70.5%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 2

103 27.9447 27.94 27.3002 27.30 †1 71.0345 71.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 2

103 24.5495 24.55 26.3586 26.36 †1 71.0345 71.0%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 2

102 33.0628 33.06 25.3337 25.33 69.8630 69.9%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 2

102 31.4002 31.40 25.6912 25.69 69.8630 69.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 2

101 26.0160 26.02 25.8466 25.85 69.1781 69.2%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 2

100 29.1782 29.18 25.7130 25.71 68.4932 68.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 2

99 31.6361 31.64 25.6164 25.62 67.8082 67.8%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 1

99 30.6583 30.66 27.0346 27.03 67.8082 67.8%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 2

99 26.6347 26.63 26.6242 26.62 67.8082 67.8%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 2

98 29.8198 29.82 27.2329 27.23 67.1233 67.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 2

98 28.3235 28.32 26.0871 26.09 67.1233 67.1%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 2

97 26.0188 26.02 27.1507 27.15 66.4384 66.4%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2

95 26.3798 26.38 26.4672 26.47 †9 69.3431 69.3%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

85 28.7379 28.74 26.7727 26.77 †25 70.2479 70.2%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.