Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Tag: The Arc

Footy Forensics: Hawthorn to Western Bulldogs

Posted on June 1, 2017

Don’t miss Part 2 of Matt Cowgill’s amazing graphgasm smorgasbord over at ESPN:

A deep dive into footy data turns up the graph that tells your team’s story so far in 2017. This week, we analyse Hawthorn through to the Western Bulldogs.

Source: Footy Forensics Your AFL club’s key game trend part II

Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 18.9 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 17.0 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Hawthorn 15.0 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
4
Brisbane Lions 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
5
Adelaide 14.1 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Geelong 13.8 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–7
7
Melbourne 13.8 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–7
8
Western Bulldogs 12.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
Collingwood 12.3 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Carlton 11.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–12
11
St Kilda 10.9 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
12
GWS 10.8 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–12
13
Gold Coast 10.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
North Melbourne 10.1 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–14
15
Port Adelaide 9.2 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 6.0 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.6 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.6 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 2 games of Round 18, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 15 2 – 142.3%
+3.9
1
2
Sydney 13 4 – 131.2%
+4.0
2
3
Hawthorn 10∗ 5 1 110.0%
+4.5
3
4
Brisbane Lions 10∗ 6 – 111.7%
+4.5
4
5
Adelaide 10∗ 6 – 111.4%
+4.1
5
6
Melbourne 10∗ 6 – 106.3%
+3.8
7
7
Collingwood 9 7 1 104.5%
+2.8
9
8
Geelong 9∗ 7 – 117.1%
+4.8
6
9
Western Bulldogs 9∗ 7 – 90.8%
+3.8
8
10
Carlton 8∗ 8 – 96.0%
+3.4
10
11
North Melbourne 8 9 – 91.4%
+2.1
14
12
St Kilda 7∗ 9 – 105.5%
+3.9
11
13
GWS 7∗ 9 – 100.8%
+3.8
12
14
Gold Coast 7∗ 9 – 100.7%
+3.0
13
15
Port Adelaide 6∗ 10 – 102.5%
+3.2
15
16
West Coast 4∗ 12 – 71.5%
+2.0
16
17
Richmond 2∗ 14 – 63.3%
+1.6
17
18
Essendon 1∗ 15 – 69.0%
+1.6
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

111 34.6131 34.61 25.0568 25.06 76.0274 76.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 2

109 33.2846 33.28 24.7563 24.76 74.6575 74.7%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 2

109 23.6629 23.66 25.1551 25.16 74.6575 74.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 2

108 34.3483 34.35 25.9863 25.99 73.9726 74.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

107 34.6571 34.66 25.3924 25.39 73.2877 73.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

106 35.3518 35.35 25.1991 25.20 72.6027 72.6%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 2

106 33.2782 33.28 25.5489 25.55 72.6027 72.6%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

106 32.9853 32.99 25.3149 25.31 72.6027 72.6%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 2

106 29.6456 29.65 26.0968 26.10 72.6027 72.6%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

105 35.6572 35.66 25.7401 25.74 71.9178 71.9%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 2

105 30.7262 30.73 25.6142 25.61 71.9178 71.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 2

104 33.3172 33.32 26.7671 26.77 71.2329 71.2%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

104 32.5263 32.53 26.1586 26.16 71.2329 71.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 2

103 33.3453 33.35 26.2695 26.27 70.5479 70.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 2

103 33.3322 33.33 25.2210 25.22 70.5479 70.5%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 2

103 32.1100 32.11 26.3493 26.35 70.5479 70.5%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 1

103 28.8782 28.88 25.5945 25.59 70.5479 70.5%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 2

103 27.9447 27.94 27.3002 27.30 †1 71.0345 71.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 2

103 24.5495 24.55 26.3586 26.36 †1 71.0345 71.0%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 2

102 33.0628 33.06 25.3337 25.33 69.8630 69.9%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 2

102 31.4002 31.40 25.6912 25.69 69.8630 69.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 2

101 26.0160 26.02 25.8466 25.85 69.1781 69.2%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 2

100 29.1782 29.18 25.7130 25.71 68.4932 68.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 2

99 31.6361 31.64 25.6164 25.62 67.8082 67.8%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 1

99 30.6583 30.66 27.0346 27.03 67.8082 67.8%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 2

99 26.6347 26.63 26.6242 26.62 67.8082 67.8%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 2

98 29.8198 29.82 27.2329 27.23 67.1233 67.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 2

98 28.3235 28.32 26.0871 26.09 67.1233 67.1%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 2

97 26.0188 26.02 27.1507 27.15 66.4384 66.4%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2

95 26.3798 26.38 26.4672 26.47 †9 69.3431 69.3%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 2

85 28.7379 28.74 26.7727 26.77 †25 70.2479 70.2%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.