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Does home ground advantage still exist?

Posted on June 29, 2017June 29, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc @ ESPN takes a close look at home ground advantage.

A spate of upsets have left many of us pondering whether or not home ground advantage is still a thing in the AFL. It’s time to answer that question.

Source: Footy Forensics: Does home ground advantage still exist?

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Wins % Range
1
 Richmond 14.0 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 12.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 12.6 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Western Bulldogs 12.5 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–8
5
 Collingwood 12.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
6
 Port Adelaide 11.9 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Brisbane Lions 11.8 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
8
 West Coast 11.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–9
9
 GWS 11.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
10
 North Melbourne 10.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
11
 Fremantle 10.9 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–15
12
 Sydney 10.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 St Kilda 10.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Melbourne 9.8 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 Adelaide 9.5 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–17
16
 Carlton 9.7 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–17
17
 Essendon 9.3 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
18
 Gold Coast 6.8 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

Pre-season 2020.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide 0 0 0
+9.5
15
2
 Brisbane Lions 0 0 0
+11.8
7
3
 Carlton 0 0 0
+9.7
16
4
 Collingwood 0 0 0
+12.1
5
5
 Essendon 0 0 0
+9.3
17
6
 Fremantle 0 0 0
+10.9
11
7
 Geelong 0 0 0
+12.8
2
8
 Gold Coast 0 0 0
+6.8
18
9
 GWS 0 0 0
+11.5
9
10
 Hawthorn 0 0 0
+12.6
3
11
 Melbourne 0 0 0
+9.8
14
12
 North Melbourne 0 0 0
+10.8
10
13
 Port Adelaide 0 0 0
+11.9
6
14
 Richmond 0 0 0
+14.0
1
15
 St Kilda 0 0 0
+10.1
13
16
 Sydney 0 0 0
+10.4
12
17
 West Coast 0 0 0
+11.7
8
18
 Western Bulldogs 0 0 0
+12.5
4

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.