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Time in front vs wins

Posted on June 28, 2017 by Max Barry

Although Geelong & W Bulldogs have spent less than half the season in front, both have a winning record.

North & Essendon are the opposite. pic.twitter.com/PZVTb5kWHu

— InsightLane (@insightlane) June 28, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.0 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 18.0 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16.0 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
4
Hawthorn 16.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
5
Geelong 15.0 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Adelaide 15.0 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
7
Melbourne 15.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
8
Western Bulldogs 13.5 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
Collingwood 13.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Carlton 12.5 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
St Kilda 10.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
GWS 10.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
Gold Coast 9.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
North Melbourne 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Port Adelaide 7.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 4.0 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.0 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.0 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After Round 24, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 19 4 – 137.2%
+0.0
1
2
Sydney 18 5 – 136.1%
+-0.0
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16 7 – 121.7%
+-0.0
3
4
Hawthorn 15 6 2 120.1%
+0.0
4
5
Geelong 15 8 – 122.3%
+-0.0
5
6
Adelaide 15 8 – 117.3%
+-0.0
6
7
Melbourne 15 8 – 109.6%
+0.0
7
8
Western Bulldogs 13 9 1 95.4%
+-0.0
8
9
Collingwood 12 9 2 102.4%
+0.0
9
10
Carlton 12 10 1 101.5%
+-0.0
10
11
St Kilda 10 13 – 102.8%
+0.0
11
12
GWS 10 13 – 98.9%
+0.0
12
13
Gold Coast 9 14 – 94.5%
+-0.0
13
14
North Melbourne 9 14 – 88.8%
+0.0
14
15
Port Adelaide 7 16 – 88.0%
+-0.0
15
16
West Coast 4 19 – 69.2%
+0.0
16
17
Richmond 3 20 – 62.5%
+0.0
17
18
Essendon 2 21 – 64.6%
+0.0
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 6 9 5

157 51.0999 51.10 25.3047 25.30 75.8454 75.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 6 9 6

157 35.3355 35.34 25.4415 25.44 75.8454 75.8%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 5 9 6

155 53.8211 53.82 25.0943 25.09 74.8792 74.9%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 6

154 52.6227 52.62 25.2676 25.27 74.3961 74.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4 9 6

154 51.5881 51.59 26.0338 26.03 74.3961 74.4%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4 9 6

154 51.1347 51.13 24.8153 24.82 74.3961 74.4%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 7 9 5

154 48.8002 48.80 25.5124 25.51 74.3961 74.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 6

153 51.1613 51.16 25.1447 25.14 73.9130 73.9%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 6

153 48.8410 48.84 25.6301 25.63 73.9130 73.9%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 5 9 5

152 52.6544 52.65 24.9592 24.96 73.4300 73.4%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 5 9 6

152 49.9180 49.92 25.9034 25.90 73.4300 73.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6

151 54.6971 54.70 25.6405 25.64 72.9469 72.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 6

151 52.4350 52.44 26.2850 26.29 72.9469 72.9%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6

149 52.6546 52.65 25.7444 25.74 71.9807 72.0%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 9 7

149 48.7298 48.73 25.4198 25.42 71.9807 72.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 6 9 6

149 39.9592 39.96 26.4272 26.43 †1 72.3301 72.3%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6

148 50.4655 50.47 25.4208 25.42 71.4976 71.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 4 9 6

148 50.2176 50.22 25.3536 25.35 71.4976 71.5%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 5

148 50.0638 50.06 25.5686 25.57 71.4976 71.5%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 9 5

148 47.1286 47.13 25.0585 25.06 71.4976 71.5%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 6 8 6

148 46.7708 46.77 26.2128 26.21 71.4976 71.5%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 9 6

148 41.5921 41.59 25.7787 25.78 71.4976 71.5%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 4 9 6

147 50.0471 50.05 26.1881 26.19 †4 72.4138 72.4%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 4 9 6

144 48.8023 48.80 26.5691 26.57 69.5652 69.6%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 5

144 46.4377 46.44 26.6618 26.66 69.5652 69.6%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 6 9 5

144 46.4313 46.43 26.5072 26.51 69.5652 69.6%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 6 9 5

144 46.2642 46.26 26.0097 26.01 69.5652 69.6%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 6 9 6

144 43.7169 43.72 26.0758 26.08 †9 72.7273 72.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 9 6

143 41.0417 41.04 27.0007 27.00 69.0821 69.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 4 8 6

141 43.0787 43.08 26.2556 26.26 68.1159 68.1%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 5 9 6

132 46.4467 46.45 26.4451 26.45 †25 72.5275 72.5%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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