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Anatomy of an upset – how do AFL teams overcome the odds to spring a big win?

Posted on June 22, 2017June 22, 2017 by Max Barry

Hurling People Now counts the ways in which teams can pull off an upset and comes up with four:

  1. 1. Midfield dominance
  2. 2. Stylistic superiority
  3. 3. Incredible efficiency
  4. 4. Unnerving accuracy

Source: Anatomy of an upset – how do AFL teams overcome the odds to spring a big win? | Hurling People Now

CategoriesHurling People Now

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Wins % Range
1
 GWS 14.3 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
2
 Melbourne 13.8 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
3
 Brisbane Lions 13.9 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Port Adelaide 13.8 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–10
5
 Collingwood 13.8 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–8
6
 Geelong 13.3 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–8
7
 Adelaide 13.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–12
8
 Sydney 12.6 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–11
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.5 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–12
10
 Carlton 12.2 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–11
11
 St Kilda 11.7 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–14
12
 Gold Coast 11.8 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
13
 Fremantle 10.8 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–14
14
 Richmond 9.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Essendon 8.6 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
16
 Hawthorn 8.6 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
17
 North Melbourne 6.5 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 West Coast 4.6 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

Pre-season 2024.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide – – –
+13.1
7
2
 Brisbane Lions – – –
+13.9
3
3
 Carlton – – –
+12.2
10
4
 Collingwood – – –
+13.8
5
5
 Essendon – – –
+8.6
15
6
 Fremantle – – –
+10.8
13
7
 Geelong – – –
+13.3
6
8
 Gold Coast – – –
+11.8
12
9
 GWS – – –
+14.3
1
10
 Hawthorn – – –
+8.6
16
11
 Melbourne – – –
+13.8
2
12
 North Melbourne – – –
+6.5
17
13
 Port Adelaide – – –
+13.8
4
14
 Richmond – – –
+9.9
14
15
 St Kilda – – –
+11.7
11
16
 Sydney – – –
+12.6
8
17
 West Coast – – –
+4.6
18
18
 Western Bulldogs – – –
+12.5
9

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