Anatomy of an upset – how do AFL teams overcome the odds to spring a big win?

June 22, 2017June 22, 2017 by Max Barry

Hurling People Now counts the ways in which teams can pull off an upset and comes up with four:

1. Midfield dominance

2. Stylistic superiority

3. Incredible efficiency

4. Unnerving accuracy

Source: Anatomy of an upset – how do AFL teams overcome the odds to spring a big win? | Hurling People Now

			W	L	D	%	History
1		Port Adelaide	3	0	0	153.2%
2		Richmond	3	0	0	152.8%
3		Sydney	3	0	0	127.8%
4		Geelong	2	1	0	120.2%
5		GWS	2	1	0	119.9%
6		Collingwood	2	1	0	117.1%
7		West Coast	2	1	0	113.0%
8		Fremantle	2	1	0	103.8%
9		Western Bulldogs	2	1	0	85.1%
10		Brisbane Lions	1	2	0	113.4%
11		Hawthorn	1	2	0	106.6%
12		Adelaide	1	2	0	100.10%
13		Carlton	1	2	0	93.2%
14		Essendon	1	2	0	80.3%
15		North Melbourne	1	2	0	66.9%
16		Melbourne	0	3	0	74.8%
17		St Kilda	0	3	0	72.6%
18		Gold Coast	0	3	0	52.7%

After Round 1, 2020.

			W	L	D	%	History
1		Port Adelaide	1	0	0	262.1%
2		Collingwood	1	0	0	252.9%
3		West Coast	1	0	0	152.9%
4		Hawthorn	1	0	0	145.2%
5		GWS	1	0	0	143.8%
6		Richmond	1	0	0	129.6%
7		Essendon	1	0	0	110.5%
8		Sydney	1	0	0	104.2%
9		North Melbourne	1	0	0	103.7%
10		St Kilda	0	1	0	96.4%
11		Adelaide	0	1	0	95.9%
12		Fremantle	0	1	0	90.5%
13		Carlton	0	1	0	77.1%
14		Geelong	0	1	0	69.5%
15		Brisbane Lions	0	1	0	68.9%
16		Melbourne	0	1	0	65.4%
17		Western Bulldogs	0	1	0	39.5%
18		Gold Coast	0	1	0	38.2%

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
8	8	3.88	18.33	88.9%
8	8	3.67	17.44	88.9%
8	8	3.04	18.56	88.9%
8	8	2.85	17.11	88.9%
Aggregate 8	8	2.67	16.79	88.9%
8	8	2.29	17.84	88.9%
8	8	2.21	18.11	88.9%
7	7	3.15	18.78	77.8%
7	7	3.07	16.96	77.8%
7	7	2.62	17.80	77.8%
Punters 7	7	2.40	19.17	77.8%
7	7	1.86	19.33	77.8%
7	7	1.53	20.10	77.8%
7	7	1.20	17.56	77.8%
6	6	3.11	16.11	66.7%
6	6	2.53	17.96	66.7%
5	5	2.06	20.73	55.6%