Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

The Tips Are Coming In

Posted on September 27, 2017September 27, 2017 by Max Barry

We have our first computer model Tiger tip! It’s from Matter of Stats.

Matter of Stats post on the tip.

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute, Matter of Stats, Squiggle

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Squiggle on Preliminary Finals & Grand Final Preview
Next PostNext Squiggle on Grand Final 2017

Wins % Range
1
 Hawthorn 16.5 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Brisbane Lions 15.9 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–6
3
 Adelaide 14.4 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
4
 Geelong 14.1 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–9
5
 Gold Coast 13.7 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–11
6
 Western Bulldogs 13.7 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–8
7
 Collingwood 13.5 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–9
8
 GWS 13.3 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–10
9
 Sydney 12.9 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–11
10
 St Kilda 11.8 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
11
 Fremantle 11.5 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–14
12
 Carlton 10.4 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
13
 Port Adelaide 10.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
14
 Essendon 9.6 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
15
 Melbourne 7.6 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
16
 North Melbourne 7.2 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
17
 Richmond 5.8 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
18
 West Coast 4.8 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 3, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Hawthorn 4 – – 127.4%
+12.5
1
2
 Adelaide 3∗ – – 164.0%
+11.4
3
3
 Brisbane Lions 3∗ – – 114.7%
+12.9
2
4
 Gold Coast 2∗ – – 230.6%
+11.7
5
5
 GWS 2∗ 1 – 121.3%
+11.3
8
6
 Collingwood 2∗ 1 – 120.5%
+11.5
7
7
 St Kilda 2∗ 1 – 109.3%
+9.8
10
8
 Western Bulldogs 2∗ 1 – 107.3%
+11.7
6
9
 Geelong 1∗ 2 – 126.2%
+13.1
4
10
 North Melbourne 1∗ 2 – 102.4%
+6.2
16
11
 Sydney 1∗ 2 – 91.5%
+11.9
9
12
 Port Adelaide 1∗ 2 – 88.8%
+9.3
13
13
 Fremantle 1∗ 2 – 84.8%
+10.5
11
14
 Essendon 1∗ 2 – 77.4%
+8.6
14
15
 Richmond 1∗ 2 – 59.0%
+4.8
17
16
 Carlton –∗ 3 – 83.3%
+10.4
12
17
 Melbourne –∗ 3 – 62.7%
+7.6
15
18
 West Coast –∗ 3 – 57.1%
+4.8
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7

22 7.32 30.59 81.5%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7

22 6.39 28.85 81.5%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8

22 5.63 30.54 81.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7

22 5.61 32.96 81.5%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7

22 5.53 29.45 81.5%
s10

2 8 5 7

22 5.47 29.67 81.5%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6

21 6.61 28.58 77.8%
Winnable

1 8 6 6

21 6.25 28.79 77.8%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7

21 5.96 33.70 77.8%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7

21 5.58 29.10 77.8%
Punters

1 8 5 7

21 4.47 30.16 77.8%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8

21 4.38 31.62 77.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8

21 3.75 30.66 77.8%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7

21 3.62 28.96 77.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6

20 6.68 28.04 74.1%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6

20 6.65 29.22 74.1%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6

20 5.93 29.61 74.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7

20 5.88 30.33 74.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8

20 4.96 31.00 74.1%
footycharts

2 7 3 8

20 4.77 31.56 74.1%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6

20 4.75 31.65 74.1%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6

20 4.09 31.47 74.1%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7

19 5.62 31.21 70.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6

19 4.21 32.19 70.4%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6

19 4.11 32.16 70.4%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6

17 3.33 32.81 63.0%
Graft

1 5 5 6

17 2.96 33.74 63.0%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6

15 2.03 32.83 55.6%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.