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Sydney’s Path to the Finals

Posted on July 27, 2017 by Max Barry

The Swans are taking perhaps the weirdest path to the finals ever https://t.co/6TZAnJDmZQ pic.twitter.com/q7FM3dkkYj

— The Arc (@TheArcFooty) July 26, 2017

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Adelaide 16.7 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Collingwood 17.0 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Brisbane Lions 16.4 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
4
 Geelong 15.9 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 GWS 15.2 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 Gold Coast 14.8 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
7
 Hawthorn 14.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
8
 Fremantle 14.8 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
9
 Western Bulldogs 14.0 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
10
 Sydney 11.3 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Port Adelaide 9.7 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Carlton 9.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Melbourne 8.4 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 St Kilda 7.7 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Essendon 7.3 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.1 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 6.2 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 1.8 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 20, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 14∗ 4 – 133.7%
+3.0
2
2
 Brisbane Lions 13∗ 4 1 116.6%
+2.9
3
3
 Adelaide 13∗ 5 – 139.6%
+3.7
1
4
 Hawthorn 13 6 – 119.9%
+1.7
7
5
 GWS 13 6 – 118.4%
+2.2
5
6
 Geelong 12∗ 6 – 128.2%
+3.9
4
7
 Fremantle 12∗ 6 – 108.9%
+2.8
8
8
 Western Bulldogs 11 8 – 132.6%
+3.0
9
9
 Gold Coast 11∗ 6 – 115.5%
+3.8
6
10
 Sydney 9 10 – 93.9%
+2.3
10
11
 Port Adelaide 8∗ 10 – 88.0%
+1.7
11
12
 Carlton 7 12 – 93.3%
+2.0
12
13
 Melbourne 6∗ 12 – 89.7%
+2.4
13
14
 Essendon 6∗ 12 – 71.7%
+1.3
15
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 13 – 85.3%
+2.7
14
16
 Richmond 5∗ 13 – 68.5%
+1.2
17
17
 North Melbourne 4∗ 13 1 76.1%
+1.6
16
18
 West Coast 1∗ 17 – 63.6%
+0.8
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 3

124 33.94 25.42 75.6%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 3

123 28.71 26.27 75.0%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 3

122 33.94 25.19 74.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 3

122 33.21 25.32 74.4%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 3

122 32.80 25.28 74.4%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 3

122 32.48 25.38 74.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 3

122 31.78 26.32 74.4%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 3

121 33.57 25.44 73.8%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 3

121 32.32 25.31 73.8%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 3

118 34.02 26.04 72.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 3

118 31.81 26.65 72.0%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 3

118 30.61 25.95 72.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 3

118 29.51 26.06 72.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 3

117 34.79 24.98 71.3%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 3

117 32.15 25.69 71.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 3

116 34.25 24.87 70.7%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 3

116 33.82 24.91 70.7%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 3

116 28.87 25.76 70.7%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 3

115 23.11 27.50 70.1%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 2

114 29.74 26.09 69.5%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 3

114 29.44 26.32 69.5%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 3

113 32.44 25.82 68.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 2

113 27.71 26.93 68.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 3

113 27.05 26.93 68.9%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 3

112 28.99 26.12 68.3%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 3

112 27.39 27.33 68.3%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 3

111 16.40 28.51 67.7%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 3

106 25.69 27.23 64.6%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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