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Posted on June 30, 2017June 30, 2017 by Max Barry

What does the ladder look like if you reverse all the games that were decided by a goal or less? Or if all teams kicked for goal with equal accuracy? Footy Maths has the answers.

Source: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: 15. SCORE REVIEW

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute

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Wins % Range
1
 Adelaide 17.7 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Geelong 17.1 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.9 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
4
 Gold Coast 15.7 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
5
 Collingwood 15.7 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Western Bulldogs 15.1 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–8
7
 Hawthorn 15.3 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 GWS 15.4 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
9
 Fremantle 15.5 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
10
 Sydney 11.8 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 St Kilda 9.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Carlton 8.5 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Port Adelaide 8.5 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Melbourne 7.5 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Essendon 6.6 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 5.5 74%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 1.3 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 8 games of Round 23, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide 17 5 – 141.0%
+0.7
1
2
 Geelong 16 6 – 140.7%
+1.1
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 15 6 1 114.3%
+0.4
3
4
 Collingwood 15 7 – 123.1%
+0.7
5
5
 Hawthorn 15 7 – 122.7%
+0.3
7
6
 GWS 15 7 – 115.5%
+0.4
8
7
 Fremantle 15 7 – 108.6%
+0.5
9
8
 Gold Coast 14∗ 7 – 121.2%
+1.7
4
9
 Western Bulldogs 13∗ 8 – 135.4%
+2.1
6
10
 Sydney 11 11 – 93.3%
+0.8
10
11
 St Kilda 9 13 – 88.5%
+0.2
11
12
 Carlton 8 14 – 94.7%
+0.5
12
13
 Port Adelaide 8 14 – 79.0%
+0.5
13
14
 Melbourne 7 15 – 93.4%
+0.5
14
15
 Essendon 6∗ 15 – 72.3%
+0.6
15
16
 North Melbourne 5 16 1 75.7%
+0.0
16
17
 Richmond 5 17 – 66.1%
+0.3
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 20 – 63.0%
+0.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 6

149 46.60 26.24 76.0%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 8 8 7

149 44.16 25.97 76.0%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

147 47.94 26.06 75.0%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

147 44.63 26.13 75.0%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 8 7 6

147 44.38 25.95 75.0%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 5

147 42.59 26.87 75.0%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

146 45.17 26.18 74.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

146 44.29 26.01 74.5%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 8 6 5

146 38.36 26.74 74.5%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 8 8 6

144 43.50 26.45 73.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 8 7 6

143 47.12 27.41 73.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 8 7 6

143 45.12 27.40 73.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 8 6 7

143 41.42 26.65 73.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 8 7 6

142 47.67 26.03 72.4%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

142 44.37 26.33 72.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 6

141 49.23 25.75 71.9%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 8 7 6

141 47.48 25.81 71.9%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 8 8 7

141 46.16 26.42 71.9%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 8 7 6

141 41.96 26.64 71.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 8 7 6

141 33.21 27.89 71.9%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 8 7 7

140 42.16 26.91 71.4%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 8 7 6

139 40.96 27.17 70.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 6

139 38.26 27.60 70.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 8 7 6

138 38.29 27.79 70.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 7 8 6

138 37.68 27.88 70.4%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 8 7 6

137 22.94 29.23 69.9%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 8 7 5

136 38.93 27.16 69.4%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 8 8 5

132 37.93 28.15 67.3%

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