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Posted on June 30, 2017June 30, 2017 by Max Barry

What does the ladder look like if you reverse all the games that were decided by a goal or less? Or if all teams kicked for goal with equal accuracy? Footy Maths has the answers.

Source: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: 15. SCORE REVIEW

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 18.8 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.0 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.1 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Adelaide 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Melbourne 13.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
7
 Geelong 13.3 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
8
 Western Bulldogs 12.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Collingwood 12.3 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 St Kilda 11.2 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
11
 GWS 11.2 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 Carlton 11.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
13
 Gold Coast 9.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 North Melbourne 10.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.9 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.1 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.7 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 2.7 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 6 games of Round 18, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 15 2 – 142.3%
+3.8
1
2
 Sydney 13 4 – 131.2%
+4.0
2
3
 Hawthorn 11 5 1 114.2%
+3.6
3
4
 Adelaide 11 6 – 116.9%
+3.5
5
5
 Brisbane Lions 10∗ 6 – 111.7%
+4.5
4
6
 Melbourne 10∗ 6 – 106.3%
+3.7
6
7
 Collingwood 9 7 1 104.5%
+2.8
9
8
 Geelong 9 8 – 115.2%
+4.3
7
9
 Western Bulldogs 9∗ 7 – 90.8%
+3.8
8
10
 St Kilda 8 9 – 106.1%
+3.2
10
11
 GWS 8 9 – 101.6%
+3.2
11
12
 Carlton 8 9 – 91.9%
+3.3
12
13
 North Melbourne 8 9 – 91.4%
+2.2
14
14
 Gold Coast 7 10 – 95.6%
+2.8
13
15
 Port Adelaide 6 11 – 101.3%
+2.9
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 12 – 71.5%
+2.1
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 14 – 63.3%
+1.7
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 15 – 69.0%
+1.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 5

114 35.5147 35.51 25.3239 25.32 76.0000 76.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 6

113 24.2011 24.20 25.4161 25.42 75.3333 75.3%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5

112 34.0562 34.06 25.0144 25.01 74.6667 74.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 5

111 35.8197 35.82 26.0133 26.01 74.0000 74.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 5

110 35.7276 35.73 25.5933 25.59 73.3333 73.3%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 6

110 34.7619 34.76 25.6395 25.64 73.3333 73.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 5

109 36.2788 36.28 25.4718 25.47 72.6667 72.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 5

109 33.8766 33.88 25.5524 25.55 72.6667 72.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 5

109 30.8105 30.81 26.2555 26.26 72.6667 72.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 5

108 36.5285 36.53 26.0086 26.01 72.0000 72.0%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 5

108 31.4691 31.47 25.8760 25.88 72.0000 72.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 5

107 34.2363 34.24 26.9533 26.95 71.3333 71.3%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 5

107 33.3653 33.37 26.3921 26.39 71.3333 71.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 5

106 34.3330 34.33 26.4759 26.48 70.6667 70.7%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 5

106 33.8644 33.86 25.5019 25.50 70.6667 70.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5

106 32.6346 32.63 26.5800 26.58 70.6667 70.7%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 4

106 29.7055 29.71 25.7807 25.78 70.6667 70.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5

106 29.4608 29.46 27.3501 27.35 †1 71.1409 71.1%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 5

106 25.4025 25.40 26.5302 26.53 †1 71.1409 71.1%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 5

105 33.6887 33.69 25.6112 25.61 70.0000 70.0%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 5

105 32.1060 32.11 25.9332 25.93 70.0000 70.0%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 5

104 26.6315 26.63 26.1167 26.12 69.3333 69.3%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 5

103 29.7894 29.79 25.9953 26.00 68.6667 68.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 5

102 32.2678 32.27 25.9333 25.93 68.0000 68.0%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 4

102 31.8908 31.89 27.2359 27.24 68.0000 68.0%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 5

101 30.7316 30.73 27.3800 27.38 67.3333 67.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 5

101 29.1971 29.20 26.2775 26.28 67.3333 67.3%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 4

101 26.3624 26.36 27.0476 27.05 67.3333 67.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 5

100 26.9446 26.94 27.4667 27.47 66.6667 66.7%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6

99 27.6214 27.62 26.6099 26.61 †9 70.2128 70.2%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 5

88 29.4828 29.48 27.1080 27.11 †25 70.4000 70.4%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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