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Posted on June 30, 2017June 30, 2017 by Max Barry

What does the ladder look like if you reverse all the games that were decided by a goal or less? Or if all teams kicked for goal with equal accuracy? Footy Maths has the answers.

Source: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: 15. SCORE REVIEW

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute

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Wins % Range
1
 Sydney 17.1 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Fremantle 17.3 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Geelong 16.3 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
4
 Hawthorn 15.5 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Brisbane Lions 13.1 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
6
 Adelaide 13.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
7
 Gold Coast 12.8 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
8
 Melbourne 13.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.2 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
10
 Collingwood 11.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
11
 St Kilda 11.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 GWS 10.8 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 North Melbourne 10.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 Carlton 8.9 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 Port Adelaide 8.1 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 West Coast 6.7 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Essendon 4.5 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Richmond 4.7 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 11, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 10 1 – 135.5%
+7.3
2
2
 Sydney 9 2 – 142.5%
+8.1
1
3
 Geelong 8 3 – 124.4%
+8.3
3
4
 Hawthorn 7 3 1 110.4%
+8.0
4
5
 Gold Coast 7 4 – 116.9%
+5.8
7
6
 Melbourne 7 4 – 106.7%
+6.0
8
7
 Adelaide 6 5 – 107.9%
+7.0
6
8
 Brisbane Lions 6 5 – 106.6%
+7.1
5
9
 Western Bulldogs 6 5 – 92.8%
+6.2
9
10
 Collingwood 5 5 1 100.3%
+6.4
10
11
 St Kilda 5 6 – 108.2%
+6.0
11
12
 GWS 5 6 – 98.6%
+5.8
12
13
 North Melbourne 5 6 – 97.6%
+5.0
13
14
 Port Adelaide 3 8 – 100.9%
+5.1
15
15
 Carlton 3 8 – 86.1%
+5.9
14
16
 West Coast 3 8 – 66.1%
+3.7
16
17
 Richmond 2 9 – 64.5%
+2.7
18
18
 Essendon 1 10 – 70.9%
+3.5
17

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6

78 25.8692 25.87 26.0012 26.00 78.7879 78.8%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5

78 25.0564 25.06 24.9088 24.91 78.7879 78.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6

76 17.1004 17.10 25.9342 25.93 76.7677 76.8%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5

75 25.4822 25.48 26.0066 26.01 75.7576 75.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5

75 22.9839 22.98 26.4990 26.50 75.7576 75.8%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5

74 24.3535 24.35 26.7879 26.79 74.7475 74.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5

74 23.6532 23.65 26.0646 26.06 74.7475 74.7%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5

74 19.0272 19.03 26.5657 26.57 74.7475 74.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5

73 26.1502 26.15 26.4188 26.42 73.7374 73.7%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4

73 25.8333 25.83 25.7153 25.72 73.7374 73.7%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5

73 24.9478 24.95 26.3118 26.31 73.7374 73.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5

73 22.6434 22.64 26.2929 26.29 73.7374 73.7%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4

72 25.5235 25.52 26.9923 26.99 72.7273 72.7%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5

72 22.6742 22.67 26.8508 26.85 72.7273 72.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5

72 22.4038 22.40 28.0505 28.05 72.7273 72.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5

72 21.7671 21.77 26.8297 26.83 72.7273 72.7%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4

71 22.8013 22.80 26.6486 26.65 71.7172 71.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5

71 21.1413 21.14 27.7521 27.75 71.7172 71.7%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4

70 20.8238 20.82 26.3909 26.39 70.7071 70.7%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5

69 23.2723 23.27 25.9695 25.97 69.6970 69.7%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5

69 22.9909 22.99 27.3022 27.30 69.6970 69.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5

69 22.2619 22.26 26.7576 26.76 69.6970 69.7%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5

69 21.9548 21.95 26.7379 26.74 69.6970 69.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5

69 21.0878 21.09 28.7980 28.80 69.6970 69.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4

68 21.4369 21.44 27.2626 27.26 68.6869 68.7%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5

68 19.4845 19.48 26.7111 26.71 68.6869 68.7%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5

67 18.9541 18.95 27.1947 27.19 67.6768 67.7%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5

67 18.2977 18.30 27.0778 27.08 67.6768 67.7%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5

65 17.1876 17.19 27.6869 27.69 65.6566 65.7%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5

63 17.1406 17.14 27.4667 27.47 †9 70.0000 70.0%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5

53 18.8285 18.83 28.1757 28.18 †25 71.6216 71.6%

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