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Who won the pre-season?

Posted on March 14, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

FootyMaths institute takes a stab at rating pre-season performance by adjusting for quality of opposition:

And as it happens, by the FMI method, St Kilda did indeed have a good pre-season series. And as another wake-up call to the competition, Essendon were next best, with Richmond and Brisbane all but a tie for third.

Read more at: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: POST-JLT: BREAK

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute, Pre-season

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Wins % Range
1
 Geelong 16.0 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Brisbane Lions 16.0 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Richmond 16.0 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Collingwood 15.0 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 West Coast 15.0 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 GWS 13.0 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Western Bulldogs 12.0 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Essendon 12.0 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Hawthorn 11.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Port Adelaide 11.0 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Adelaide 10.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 North Melbourne 10.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Fremantle 9.0 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 St Kilda 9.0 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Sydney 8.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Carlton 7.0 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Melbourne 5.0 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Gold Coast 3.0 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 23, 2019.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Geelong 16 6 0 135.7%
+0.0
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 16 6 0 118.3%
+0.0
2
3
 Richmond 16 6 0 113.7%
+0.0
3
4
 Collingwood 15 7 0 117.7%
+0.0
4
5
 West Coast 15 7 0 112.5%
+0.0
5
6
 GWS 13 9 0 115.4%
+0.0
6
7
 Western Bulldogs 12 10 0 107.2%
+0.0
7
8
 Essendon 12 10 0 95.4%
+0.0
8
9
 Hawthorn 11 11 0 108.7%
+0.0
9
10
 Port Adelaide 11 11 0 105.4%
+0.0
10
11
 Adelaide 10 12 0 100.9%
+0.0
11
12
 North Melbourne 10 12 0 99.5%
+0.0
12
13
 Fremantle 9 13 0 91.9%
+0.0
13
14
 St Kilda 9 13 0 83.9%
+0.0
14
15
 Sydney 8 14 0 97.7%
+0.0
15
16
 Carlton 7 15 0 84.5%
+0.0
16
17
 Melbourne 5 17 0 78.6%
+0.0
17
18
 Gold Coast 3 19 0 60.5%
+0.0
18

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Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Massey Ratings

3 3 5 6 5 9 8 5 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 7 7 6 7 8 2 1

137 15.94 27.89 67.2%
The Arc

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 6 5 7 7 5 8 2 1

136 23.37 26.93 66.7%
Punters

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 8 3 8 3 1

136 23.29 26.70 66.7%
Swinburne

3 3 5 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 8 1 1

135 23.19 27.56 66.2%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 4 4 9 7 6 8 6 8 4 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 8 4 8 3 1

135 21.99 26.99 66.2%
Footy Maths Institute

4 3 5 5 5 9 8 7 7 8 7 3 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 5 7 2 1

135 21.47 28.18 66.2%
Graft

5 3 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 5 8 1 1

135 21.08 26.98 66.2%
Stattraction

5 4 6 6 5 9 7 6 8 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 5 8 1 1

135 19.50 28.28 66.2%
Squiggle

5 4 5 4 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 8 3 8 3 1

134 23.44 27.14 65.7%
Live Ladders

4 3 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 5 6 5 7 7 6 8 2 1

133 24.24 26.31 65.2%
AFLalytics

3 2 6 6 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 9 5 8 2 1

132 24.77 26.93 64.7%
Aggregate

3 3 6 4 5 8 7 6 7 7 7 3 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 4 8 2 1

131 23.02 26.77 64.2%
AFL Lab

5 4 7 5 5 8 7 5 7 6 7 3 5 3 5 4 4 4 8 7 7 5 7 1 1

130 20.88 26.97 63.7%
Fat Stats

3 3 4 4 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 7 5 8 2 1

130 11.59 29.95 63.7%
PlusSixOne

4 3 5 4 5 9 7 7 8 7 6 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 4 6 7 3 8

129 16.16 26.82 65.2%
AFL Gains

1 6 5 0 4 7 7 6 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 6 7 7 5 8 3 1

128 12.23 27.72 62.7%
HPN

4 4 5 5 4 8 5 5 8 6 5 2 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 7 8 4 6 4 1

124 4.79 29.69 60.8%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.