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Who won the pre-season?

Posted on March 14, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

FootyMaths institute takes a stab at rating pre-season performance by adjusting for quality of opposition:

And as it happens, by the FMI method, St Kilda did indeed have a good pre-season series. And as another wake-up call to the competition, Essendon were next best, with Richmond and Brisbane all but a tie for third.

Read more at: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: POST-JLT: BREAK

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute, Pre-season

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.3 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.1 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.8 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.3 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Geelong 14.0 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
6
 Adelaide 13.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Melbourne 12.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Western Bulldogs 13.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
9
 Collingwood 11.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 Carlton 11.3 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
11
 Gold Coast 10.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 St Kilda 10.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 North Melbourne 10.7 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–14
14
 GWS 10.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.9 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.4 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.8 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 3.0 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 1 game of Round 17, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 14∗ 1 – 148.2%
+5.3
1
2
 Sydney 12∗ 3 – 135.7%
+5.1
2
3
 Hawthorn 10∗ 4 1 113.7%
+5.3
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 10 6 – 111.7%
+4.3
4
5
 Geelong 9 7 – 117.1%
+5.0
5
6
 Adelaide 9∗ 6 – 110.0%
+4.7
6
7
 Melbourne 9∗ 6 – 104.2%
+3.9
7
8
 Western Bulldogs 9∗ 6 – 92.8%
+4.0
8
9
 North Melbourne 8∗ 7 – 92.2%
+2.7
13
10
 Collingwood 7∗ 7 1 104.3%
+3.8
9
11
 Gold Coast 7∗ 8 – 101.2%
+3.8
11
12
 Carlton 7∗ 8 – 95.6%
+4.3
10
13
 St Kilda 6∗ 9 – 100.6%
+4.4
12
14
 GWS 6∗ 9 – 99.3%
+4.0
14
15
 Port Adelaide 5∗ 10 – 100.8%
+3.9
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 11 – 71.3%
+2.4
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 13 – 61.8%
+1.8
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 14 – 71.0%
+2.0
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 0

104 32.4639 32.46 25.1708 25.17 76.4706 76.5%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 0

102 31.4023 31.40 24.7956 24.80 75.0000 75.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 0

102 22.1635 22.16 25.3704 25.37 75.0000 75.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 0

100 32.1836 32.18 25.4852 25.49 73.5294 73.5%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 0

100 31.7392 31.74 26.1029 26.10 73.5294 73.5%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 0

99 33.1500 33.15 25.2755 25.28 72.7941 72.8%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 0

99 30.7257 30.73 25.3998 25.40 72.7941 72.8%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 0

99 30.7031 30.70 25.7103 25.71 72.7941 72.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 0

99 27.4410 27.44 26.1608 26.16 72.7941 72.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 0

98 33.4856 33.49 25.8065 25.81 72.0588 72.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 0

98 28.7765 28.78 25.7244 25.72 72.0588 72.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 0

97 30.7339 30.73 27.0368 27.04 71.3235 71.3%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 0

97 30.6069 30.61 26.1340 26.13 71.3235 71.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 0

96 31.2445 31.24 26.3730 26.37 70.5882 70.6%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 0

96 27.6825 27.68 25.6926 25.69 70.5882 70.6%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 0

96 25.2206 25.22 27.4264 27.43 †1 71.1111 71.1%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 0

95 31.0216 31.02 25.2165 25.22 69.8529 69.9%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 0

95 30.8018 30.80 25.4556 25.46 69.8529 69.9%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 0

95 30.5849 30.58 26.3088 26.31 69.8529 69.9%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 0

95 29.1017 29.10 25.8516 25.85 69.8529 69.9%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 0

93 28.7608 28.76 27.1850 27.18 68.3824 68.4%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 0

93 24.0840 24.08 26.1140 26.11 68.3824 68.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 0

92 29.2133 29.21 25.7941 25.79 67.6471 67.6%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 0

92 26.2003 26.20 25.8588 25.86 67.6471 67.6%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 0

92 24.2825 24.28 26.7878 26.79 67.6471 67.6%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 0

91 27.0787 27.08 27.3897 27.39 66.9118 66.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 0

91 26.5110 26.51 26.0632 26.06 66.9118 66.9%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 0

90 23.3786 23.38 26.9191 26.92 66.1765 66.2%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0

88 24.8532 24.85 26.4646 26.46 †9 69.2913 69.3%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5

87 22.0907 22.09 26.9587 26.96 †15 71.9008 71.9%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 0

78 25.8989 25.90 26.8964 26.90 †25 70.2703 70.3%

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