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Category: Pre-season

Who won the pre-season?

Posted on March 14, 2017March 17, 2017

FootyMaths institute takes a stab at rating pre-season performance by adjusting for quality of opposition:

And as it happens, by the FMI method, St Kilda did indeed have a good pre-season series. And as another wake-up call to the competition, Essendon were next best, with Richmond and Brisbane all but a tie for third.

Read more at: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: POST-JLT: BREAK

Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.5 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 17.7 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Hawthorn 15.8 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3
4
Brisbane Lions 15.5 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
5
Geelong 14.8 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Melbourne 15.5 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
7
Adelaide 14.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7
8
Collingwood 13.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8
9
Western Bulldogs 12.8 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9
10
Carlton 12.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
St Kilda 10.6 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11
12
GWS 10.2 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12
13
North Melbourne 9.2 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13
14
Gold Coast 8.4 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14
15
Port Adelaide 6.9 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 4.4 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.1 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.4 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 6 games of Round 23, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 19 3 – 142.5%
+0.5
1
2
Sydney 16∗ 5 – 134.0%
+1.7
2
3
Brisbane Lions 15 7 – 119.5%
+0.5
4
4
Hawthorn 14 6 2 117.3%
+0.8
3
5
Melbourne 15 7 – 111.2%
+0.5
6
6
Geelong 14 8 – 120.2%
+0.8
5
7
Adelaide 14 8 – 115.1%
+0.7
7
8
Collingwood 12 8 2 106.1%
+0.4
8
9
Western Bulldogs 12∗ 9 – 93.9%
+0.8
9
10
Carlton 11∗ 10 – 99.6%
+1.0
10
11
St Kilda 10 12 – 104.2%
+0.6
11
12
GWS 9∗ 12 – 98.9%
+1.2
12
13
North Melbourne 9 13 – 90.7%
+0.2
13
14
Gold Coast 8 14 – 93.2%
+0.4
14
15
Port Adelaide 6 16 – 87.0%
+0.9
15
16
West Coast 4∗ 17 – 71.5%
+0.4
16
17
Richmond 3 19 – 62.8%
+0.1
17
18
Essendon 2∗ 19 – 63.2%
+0.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 6 6

149 48.9718 48.97 24.9714 24.97 76.4103 76.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 6 6

148 33.0338 33.03 25.3327 25.33 75.8974 75.9%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 5 6

146 50.5438 50.54 25.0251 25.03 74.8718 74.9%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 7 6

146 46.1295 46.13 25.3394 25.34 74.8718 74.9%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 6

145 49.6763 49.68 25.0504 25.05 74.3590 74.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4 6

145 48.7193 48.72 25.9538 25.95 74.3590 74.4%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4 6

145 48.1536 48.15 24.5670 24.57 74.3590 74.4%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 5 6

144 49.3370 49.34 25.0983 25.10 73.8462 73.8%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 6

144 47.8809 47.88 25.0952 25.10 73.8462 73.8%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 6 6

144 45.4904 45.49 25.6936 25.69 73.8462 73.8%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 5 6

143 47.2347 47.23 25.6205 25.62 73.3333 73.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 6

142 51.1254 51.13 25.6297 25.63 72.8205 72.8%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 5 6

142 48.7745 48.77 26.2256 26.23 72.8205 72.8%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 6

140 49.0132 49.01 25.5778 25.58 71.7949 71.8%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 6

140 47.4036 47.40 25.4373 25.44 71.7949 71.8%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 6

140 43.9873 43.99 25.1821 25.18 71.7949 71.8%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 6 6

140 37.0835 37.08 26.3454 26.35 †1 72.1649 72.2%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 4 6

139 47.4582 47.46 25.1777 25.18 71.2821 71.3%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 5 6

139 47.0979 47.10 25.3514 25.35 71.2821 71.3%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 6

139 45.2365 45.24 25.3282 25.33 71.2821 71.3%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 6 5

139 44.4963 44.50 26.1069 26.11 71.2821 71.3%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 6

139 38.9524 38.95 25.7456 25.75 71.2821 71.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 4 6

138 46.0757 46.08 26.2365 26.24 †3 71.8750 71.9%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 6 6

136 43.4491 43.45 26.5744 26.57 69.7436 69.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 6 6

136 43.3965 43.40 25.9333 25.93 69.7436 69.7%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 6

136 42.1011 42.10 26.8615 26.86 69.7436 69.7%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 4 6

135 45.9047 45.90 26.4462 26.45 69.2308 69.2%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 6 6

135 39.8971 39.90 26.2204 26.22 †9 72.5806 72.6%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 6

134 37.6224 37.62 27.0058 27.01 68.7179 68.7%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 4 5

132 39.8844 39.88 26.1358 26.14 67.6923 67.7%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 5 6

123 42.9210 42.92 26.4941 26.49 †25 72.3529 72.4%

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