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Category: Pre-season

Who won the pre-season?

Posted on March 14, 2017March 17, 2017

FootyMaths institute takes a stab at rating pre-season performance by adjusting for quality of opposition:

And as it happens, by the FMI method, St Kilda did indeed have a good pre-season series. And as another wake-up call to the competition, Essendon were next best, with Richmond and Brisbane all but a tie for third.

Read more at: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: POST-JLT: BREAK

Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 18.2 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Adelaide 16.0 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–3
3
Geelong 16.0 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–3
4
Brisbane Lions 15.7 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–5
5
Gold Coast 15.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Western Bulldogs 14.5 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–7
7
Hawthorn 14.3 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–8
8
GWS 14.0 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–9
9
Fremantle 13.8 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Sydney 11.3 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Port Adelaide 9.9 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
Melbourne 9.3 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
13
Carlton 8.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–13
14
St Kilda 8.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14
15
Essendon 8.2 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
North Melbourne 6.3 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
Richmond 5.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 2.7 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 7 games of Round 18, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 14 3 – 136.1%
+4.2
1
2
Brisbane Lions 12 4 1 116.8%
+3.2
4
3
Adelaide 12 5 – 136.1%
+4.0
2
4
Geelong 11 6 – 127.6%
+5.0
3
5
Gold Coast 11∗ 5 – 121.8%
+4.0
5
6
Hawthorn 11 6 – 116.8%
+3.3
7
7
GWS 11 6 – 113.1%
+3.0
8
8
Fremantle 11 6 – 109.3%
+2.8
9
9
Western Bulldogs 10 7 – 129.8%
+4.5
6
10
Sydney 7∗ 9 – 93.4%
+4.3
10
11
Port Adelaide 7∗ 9 – 87.6%
+2.9
11
12
Carlton 6 11 – 93.7%
+2.9
13
13
Melbourne 6 11 – 89.7%
+3.3
12
14
Essendon 6∗ 10 – 76.5%
+2.2
15
15
St Kilda 5∗ 11 – 85.7%
+3.2
14
16
North Melbourne 4 12 1 76.7%
+1.8
16
17
Richmond 4 13 – 64.4%
+1.3
17
18
West Coast 1∗ 15 – 63.9%
+1.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 4

114 29.42 25.86 76.0%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 4

112 28.21 26.67 74.7%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 4

112 25.34 26.52 74.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 3

111 28.27 25.84 74.0%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 3

111 28.19 25.83 74.0%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 4

111 27.72 25.69 74.0%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 3

110 29.00 25.80 73.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 3

110 28.99 25.69 73.3%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 3

110 28.06 25.75 73.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 2

109 28.22 27.18 72.7%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 3

108 29.21 26.62 72.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 4

108 26.22 26.36 72.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 2

107 29.98 25.37 71.3%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 4

107 27.74 26.08 71.3%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 4

107 25.85 26.47 71.3%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 3

106 29.00 25.44 70.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 4

106 28.79 25.39 70.7%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 2

105 26.17 26.49 70.0%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 2

105 25.15 25.89 70.0%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 3

105 19.51 28.02 70.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 2

104 26.55 26.53 69.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 4

103 24.89 27.15 68.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 4

103 23.69 27.45 68.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 2

101 27.37 26.38 67.3%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 3

100 24.93 26.55 66.7%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 3

100 14.01 28.73 66.7%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 4

99 22.32 27.79 66.0%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 2

97 22.67 27.49 64.7%

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