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Category: Pre-season

Who won the pre-season?

Posted on March 14, 2017March 17, 2017

FootyMaths institute takes a stab at rating pre-season performance by adjusting for quality of opposition:

And as it happens, by the FMI method, St Kilda did indeed have a good pre-season series. And as another wake-up call to the competition, Essendon were next best, with Richmond and Brisbane all but a tie for third.

Read more at: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: POST-JLT: BREAK

Wins % Range
1
 Brisbane Lions 16.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Geelong 15.9 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 West Coast 15.7 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Richmond 15.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Collingwood 14.7 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 GWS 12.8 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Essendon 12.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Western Bulldogs 11.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Port Adelaide 10.8 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 Hawthorn 10.3 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
11
 Adelaide 10.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 North Melbourne 9.8 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Fremantle 9.2 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 St Kilda 9.2 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Sydney 7.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
16
 Carlton 7.1 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
17
 Melbourne 5.2 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Gold Coast 3.2 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 22, 2019.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Brisbane Lions 16 5 0 120.9%
+0.3
1
2
 Geelong 15 6 0 132.4%
+0.9
2
3
 West Coast 15 6 0 115.7%
+0.7
3
4
 Richmond 15 6 0 112.5%
+0.7
4
5
 Collingwood 14 7 0 117.8%
+0.7
5
6
 GWS 12 9 0 111.5%
+0.8
6
7
 Essendon 12 9 0 95.8%
+0.3
7
8
 Western Bulldogs 11 10 0 105.6%
+0.7
8
9
 Hawthorn 10 11 0 106.6%
+0.3
10
10
 Adelaide 10 11 0 102.10%
+0.3
11
11
 Port Adelaide 10 11 0 102.10%
+0.8
9
12
 North Melbourne 9 12 0 99.1%
+0.8
12
13
 Fremantle 9 12 0 94.0%
+0.2
13
14
 St Kilda 9 12 0 85.4%
+0.2
14
15
 Sydney 7 14 0 94.9%
+0.8
15
16
 Carlton 7 14 0 87.2%
+0.1
16
17
 Melbourne 5 16 0 77.9%
+0.2
17
18
 Gold Coast 3 18 0 61.6%
+0.2
18

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Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Massey Ratings

3 3 5 6 5 9 8 5 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 7 7 6 7

126 12.65 27.76 66.7%
The Arc

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 6 5 7 7 5

125 20.04 26.89 66.1%
Swinburne

3 3 5 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 6

125 19.34 27.72 66.1%
Footy Maths Institute

4 3 5 5 5 9 8 7 7 8 7 3 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 5

125 18.19 28.34 66.1%
Graft

5 3 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 5

125 17.48 26.93 66.1%
Stattraction

5 4 6 6 5 9 7 6 8 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 5

125 17.27 28.13 66.1%
Punters

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 8 3

124 18.80 26.68 65.6%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 4 4 9 7 6 8 6 8 4 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 8 4

123 16.44 27.17 65.1%
Live Ladders

4 3 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 5 6 5 7 7 6

122 19.25 26.39 64.6%
Squiggle

5 4 5 4 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 8 3

122 18.96 27.25 64.6%
AFLalytics

3 2 6 6 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 9 5

121 20.93 26.98 64.0%
AFL Lab

5 4 7 5 5 8 7 5 7 6 7 3 5 3 5 4 4 4 8 7 7 5

121 18.83 26.49 64.0%
PlusSixOne

4 3 5 4 5 9 7 7 8 7 6 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 4 6 7 3

121 13.61 26.81 64.0%
Aggregate

3 3 6 4 5 8 7 6 7 7 7 3 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 4

120 19.15 26.74 63.5%
Fat Stats

3 3 4 4 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 7 5

119 7.74 29.96 63.0%
AFL Gains

1 6 5 0 4 7 7 6 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6 6 6 7 7 5

116 7.89 27.79 61.4%
HPN

4 4 5 5 4 8 5 5 8 6 5 2 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 7 8 4

113 1.76 29.87 59.8%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.