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Who won the pre-season?

Posted on March 14, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

FootyMaths institute takes a stab at rating pre-season performance by adjusting for quality of opposition:

And as it happens, by the FMI method, St Kilda did indeed have a good pre-season series. And as another wake-up call to the competition, Essendon were next best, with Richmond and Brisbane all but a tie for third.

Read more at: FOOTYMATHS INSTITUTE: POST-JLT: BREAK

CategoriesFootyMaths Institute, Pre-season

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.9 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.3 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Adelaide 15.2 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.2 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Western Bulldogs 14.7 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
6
 Gold Coast 14.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
7
 Hawthorn 14.4 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
8
 Fremantle 13.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
9
 GWS 13.1 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 10.6 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Carlton 10.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 Port Adelaide 10.0 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 St Kilda 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 Melbourne 8.8 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 Essendon 8.9 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.9 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.1 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 3.2 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 16, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 13 2 – 135.8%
+4.9
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 10 4 1 113.4%
+4.7
4
3
 Adelaide 10 5 – 139.8%
+5.2
3
4
 Geelong 10 5 – 127.5%
+6.3
2
5
 Hawthorn 10 5 – 118.4%
+4.4
7
6
 Fremantle 10 5 – 110.4%
+3.7
8
7
 Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 131.5%
+5.7
5
8
 Gold Coast 9∗ 5 – 120.3%
+5.3
6
9
 GWS 9 6 – 107.6%
+4.1
9
10
 Port Adelaide 7 8 – 88.6%
+3.0
12
11
 Carlton 6 9 – 100.4%
+4.0
11
12
 Sydney 6 9 – 92.1%
+4.6
10
13
 Essendon 6∗ 8 – 77.5%
+2.9
15
14
 Melbourne 5 10 – 86.7%
+3.8
14
15
 St Kilda 5 10 – 86.2%
+4.0
13
16
 North Melbourne 4 10 1 78.5%
+2.4
16
17
 Richmond 3 12 – 64.8%
+2.1
17
18
 West Coast 1 14 – 65.2%
+2.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6

101 24.06 27.04 75.4%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7

100 21.47 27.43 74.6%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7

99 23.38 26.85 73.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7

99 23.36 27.56 73.9%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7

99 22.33 27.14 73.9%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7

98 24.91 26.62 73.1%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6

98 24.63 26.69 73.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7

98 23.25 28.35 73.1%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7

98 23.21 26.73 73.1%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6

98 23.14 26.76 73.1%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6

97 22.97 27.99 72.4%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6

96 25.20 26.51 71.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7

95 21.38 27.52 70.9%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6

94 23.82 26.49 70.1%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6

94 22.72 27.11 70.1%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6

94 21.54 27.58 70.1%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7

94 20.61 26.99 70.1%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6

94 20.58 27.55 70.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6

93 23.52 26.43 69.4%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6

93 23.50 27.33 69.4%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7

93 15.25 29.15 69.4%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7

91 22.29 27.35 67.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6

91 20.45 28.24 67.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7

90 19.26 28.63 67.2%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7

88 20.32 27.61 65.7%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6

88 11.66 29.20 65.7%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6

87 18.03 28.80 64.9%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6

86 17.41 28.29 64.2%

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