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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Brisbane Lions 16.1 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
2
 Hawthorn 15.3 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
3
 Collingwood 15.3 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–6
4
 Geelong 15.0 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–6
5
 GWS 14.5 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–9
6
 Gold Coast 14.5 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
7
 Adelaide 13.1 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
8
 Fremantle 12.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–11
9
 Sydney 12.6 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–12
10
 Western Bulldogs 12.5 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–11
11
 St Kilda 11.8 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–13
12
 Port Adelaide 10.7 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
13
 Carlton 10.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
14
 Essendon 10.3 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
15
 Melbourne 6.6 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
16
 North Melbourne 6.0 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
17
 Richmond 5.4 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
18
 West Coast 3.9 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 5, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Brisbane Lions 5 – – 120.0%
+11.1
1
2
 Gold Coast 4∗ – – 168.3%
+10.5
6
3
 GWS 4 1 – 145.4%
+10.5
5
4
 Collingwood 4 1 – 127.1%
+11.3
3
5
 Hawthorn 4 1 – 111.8%
+11.3
2
6
 Geelong 3 2 – 131.3%
+12.0
4
7
 Adelaide 3 2 – 130.4%
+10.1
7
8
 Fremantle 3 2 – 108.3%
+9.7
8
9
 St Kilda 3 2 – 103.3%
+8.8
11
10
 Sydney 2 3 – 103.2%
+10.6
9
11
 Port Adelaide 2 3 – 96.1%
+8.7
12
12
 Western Bulldogs 2 3 – 95.9%
+10.5
10
13
 Essendon 2∗ 2 – 90.7%
+8.3
14
14
 Carlton 1 4 – 103.6%
+9.4
13
15
 North Melbourne 1 4 – 80.0%
+5.0
16
16
 Richmond 1 4 – 59.6%
+4.4
17
17
 Melbourne – 5 – 60.6%
+6.6
15
18
 West Coast – 5 – 49.7%
+3.9
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7

36 11.14 26.90 81.8%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7

36 10.85 27.46 81.8%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7

36 10.40 27.42 81.8%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7

35 12.20 25.90 79.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7

35 12.03 28.30 79.5%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6

35 11.54 28.18 79.5%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8

35 11.12 27.77 79.5%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7

35 10.68 27.52 79.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8

35 10.36 28.75 79.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6

35 10.24 27.71 79.5%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7

35 8.66 26.52 79.5%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6

34 10.35 27.23 77.3%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6

34 9.36 27.47 77.3%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7

34 8.53 28.96 77.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6

33 12.05 26.07 75.0%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6

33 11.84 26.56 75.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8

33 10.94 27.99 75.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7

33 10.79 29.57 75.0%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6

33 9.48 29.21 75.0%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6

33 8.85 29.40 75.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5

33 8.77 28.91 75.0%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7

32 9.73 28.77 72.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6

32 9.08 29.00 72.7%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6

31 9.59 29.09 70.5%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6

31 6.38 31.09 70.5%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6

30 8.10 30.32 68.2%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6

30 7.29 29.36 68.2%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6

28 3.58 32.76 63.6%

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