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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 15.7 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
2
 Hawthorn 14.6 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
3
 Adelaide 14.1 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
4
 Gold Coast 13.9 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
5
 Geelong 13.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
6
 Sydney 13.6 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
7
 Brisbane Lions 12.9 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
8
 GWS 12.7 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–10
9
 Fremantle 12.2 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–11
10
 Collingwood 12.1 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
11
 Melbourne 10.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
12
 North Melbourne 9.9 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
13
 St Kilda 9.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
14
 Carlton 9.8 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
15
 Port Adelaide 9.0 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–16
16
 Richmond 7.7 80%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
17
 Essendon 7.3 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
18
 West Coast 7.1 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18

After 1 game of Round 2, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Gold Coast 2∗ – – 181.6%
+11.9
4
2
 Western Bulldogs 2∗ – – 154.1%
+13.7
1
3
 Sydney 2 1 – 139.5%
+11.6
6
4
 Hawthorn 2 1 – 118.1%
+12.6
2
5
 North Melbourne 1∗ – – 168.7%
+8.9
12
6
 Adelaide 1∗ – – 117.7%
+13.1
3
7
 Melbourne 1∗ – – 112.1%
+9.8
11
8
 Collingwood 1∗ 1 – 98.7%
+11.1
10
9
 Geelong 1∗ 1 – 79.6%
+12.7
5
10
 GWS 1∗ 1 – 76.4%
+11.7
8
11
 Carlton 1∗ 1 – 70.9%
+8.8
14
12
 Richmond –∗ 1 – 94.7%
+7.7
16
13
 Fremantle –∗ 1 – 90.9%
+12.2
9
14
 St Kilda –∗ 2 – 87.4%
+9.8
13
15
 Brisbane Lions –∗ 2 – 77.2%
+12.9
7
16
 Port Adelaide –∗ 1 – 59.3%
+9.0
15
17
 Essendon –∗ 1 – 57.2%
+7.3
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 1 – 55.0%
+7.1
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 1

13 2.6037 2.60 25.8080 25.81 86.6667 86.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 1

12 4.5260 4.53 25.0113 25.01 80.0000 80.0%
AFLalytics

4 7 1

12 3.9373 3.94 26.1920 26.19 80.0000 80.0%
HBin

4 7 1

12 3.8307 3.83 27.4333 27.43 80.0000 80.0%
Graft

3 7 1

11 4.3865 4.39 28.0667 28.07 73.3333 73.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 1

11 3.9536 3.95 26.2380 26.24 73.3333 73.3%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 1

11 3.8564 3.86 27.2667 27.27 73.3333 73.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 1

11 3.8123 3.81 27.2000 27.20 73.3333 73.3%
s10

2 8 1

11 3.7389 3.74 26.7107 26.71 73.3333 73.3%
footycharts

3 7 1

11 3.5199 3.52 26.6153 26.62 73.3333 73.3%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 1

11 3.3076 3.31 27.5760 27.58 73.3333 73.3%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 1

11 3.1595 3.16 26.2000 26.20 73.3333 73.3%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 1

11 3.0544 3.05 26.0467 26.05 73.3333 73.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 1

10 4.1864 4.19 26.2440 26.24 66.6667 66.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 1

10 4.0916 4.09 27.7373 27.74 66.6667 66.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 1

10 3.6184 3.62 29.5333 29.53 66.6667 66.7%
Aggregate

2 7 1

10 3.4451 3.45 26.8780 26.88 66.6667 66.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 1

10 3.2290 3.23 31.2000 31.20 66.6667 66.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 1

10 3.0233 3.02 27.7333 27.73 66.6667 66.7%
The Footycast

2 7 1

10 2.9127 2.91 30.1800 30.18 66.6667 66.7%
PlusSixOne

2 7 1

10 2.5266 2.53 29.0000 29.00 66.6667 66.7%
AFL Lab

2 7 1

10 2.4940 2.49 30.8453 30.85 66.6667 66.7%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 1

10 2.4094 2.41 30.5333 30.53 66.6667 66.7%
Winnable

1 7 1

9 3.1182 3.12 28.0360 28.04 60.0000 60.0%
Stattraction

2 6 1

9 3.0925 3.09 28.3693 28.37 60.0000 60.0%
Punters

2 6 1

9 2.9201 2.92 27.4693 27.47 60.0000 60.0%
In The Game

2 6 1

9 2.7197 2.72 27.7460 27.75 60.0000 60.0%
Squiggle

1 7 1

9 2.5851 2.59 29.6207 29.62 60.0000 60.0%
Hyperion

3 5 1

9 1.7148 1.71 29.8667 29.87 60.0000 60.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 1

9 1.1039 1.10 31.1333 31.13 60.0000 60.0%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †3 50.0000 50.0%

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