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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 16.8 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
2
 Hawthorn 15.8 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.1 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
4
 Sydney 14.5 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–10
5
 Fremantle 14.6 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–9
6
 Geelong 14.4 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
7
 Gold Coast 13.9 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
8
 Adelaide 12.6 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–11
9
 Collingwood 12.3 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
10
 Melbourne 12.2 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–11
11
 GWS 11.5 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–12
12
 St Kilda 9.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
13
 North Melbourne 9.5 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
14
 Port Adelaide 9.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 Carlton 7.8 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–16
16
 West Coast 6.9 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–17
17
 Essendon 5.3 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
18
 Richmond 4.7 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 4, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Western Bulldogs 4 – – 140.4%
+12.8
1
2
 Sydney 3 1 – 182.9%
+11.5
4
3
 Gold Coast 3 1 – 152.6%
+10.9
7
4
 Fremantle 3 1 – 133.4%
+11.6
5
5
 North Melbourne 3 1 – 115.3%
+6.5
13
6
 Hawthorn 3 1 – 114.0%
+12.8
2
7
 Melbourne 3 1 – 102.0%
+9.2
10
8
 Port Adelaide 2 2 – 117.6%
+7.0
14
9
 Brisbane Lions 2 2 – 110.6%
+13.1
3
10
 Collingwood 2 2 – 93.1%
+10.3
9
11
 Geelong 2 2 – 89.7%
+12.4
6
12
 West Coast 2 2 – 64.9%
+4.9
16
13
 Adelaide 1 3 – 99.4%
+11.6
8
14
 St Kilda 1 3 – 86.0%
+8.9
12
15
 Carlton 1 3 – 76.9%
+6.8
15
16
 GWS 1 3 – 76.9%
+10.5
11
17
 Essendon – 4 – 62.7%
+5.3
17
18
 Richmond – 4 – 56.1%
+4.7
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6

28 8.7009 8.70 24.1667 24.17 77.7778 77.8%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6

27 8.5003 8.50 26.4700 26.47 75.0000 75.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4

27 4.9289 4.93 26.1608 26.16 75.0000 75.0%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5

26 9.0500 9.05 26.0403 26.04 72.2222 72.2%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6

26 7.9511 7.95 25.9114 25.91 72.2222 72.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5

26 7.8436 7.84 25.9392 25.94 72.2222 72.2%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6

26 7.1523 7.15 26.5733 26.57 72.2222 72.2%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4

26 6.8095 6.81 26.2914 26.29 72.2222 72.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5

26 6.6992 6.70 26.1733 26.17 72.2222 72.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5

26 6.5865 6.59 25.7500 25.75 72.2222 72.2%
s10

2 8 5 5 5

25 8.2399 8.24 25.7400 25.74 69.4444 69.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5

25 7.8202 7.82 26.3472 26.35 69.4444 69.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5

25 6.9536 6.95 25.8472 25.85 69.4444 69.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5

25 6.3822 6.38 27.4167 27.42 69.4444 69.4%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6

25 6.0581 6.06 27.2261 27.23 69.4444 69.4%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4

25 5.1881 5.19 26.5361 26.54 69.4444 69.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5

24 8.1362 8.14 26.2894 26.29 66.6667 66.7%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6

24 7.4341 7.43 26.1583 26.16 66.6667 66.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5

24 5.7572 5.76 27.5278 27.53 66.6667 66.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4

24 5.5872 5.59 27.5278 27.53 66.6667 66.7%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6

24 2.9379 2.94 29.3333 29.33 66.6667 66.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5

23 6.3831 6.38 27.1389 27.14 63.8889 63.9%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4

23 6.3102 6.31 26.1339 26.13 63.8889 63.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5

23 6.2500 6.25 26.3572 26.36 63.8889 63.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5

23 5.1399 5.14 27.7167 27.72 63.8889 63.9%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5

23 3.6821 3.68 28.1472 28.15 63.8889 63.9%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5

22 6.8742 6.87 26.8806 26.88 61.1111 61.1%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5

22 6.7257 6.73 26.3956 26.40 61.1111 61.1%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4

21 3.7942 3.79 28.2778 28.28 58.3333 58.3%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5

17 0.6310 0.63 27.4286 27.43 †8 60.7143 60.7%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †24 50.0000 50.0%

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