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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 16.2 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
2
 Brisbane Lions 16.3 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Geelong 15.4 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Western Bulldogs 15.3 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
5
 Hawthorn 14.9 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
6
 Adelaide 14.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
7
 Gold Coast 13.7 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
8
 GWS 12.4 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
9
 Sydney 11.8 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–12
10
 Carlton 11.3 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
11
 St Kilda 11.3 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
12
 Fremantle 11.1 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
13
 Port Adelaide 10.5 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
14
 Essendon 9.9 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
15
 Melbourne 8.2 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 Richmond 6.0 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 North Melbourne 5.1 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.2 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 8, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Brisbane Lions 7 1 – 114.4%
+9.3
2
2
 Collingwood 6 2 – 133.2%
+10.2
1
3
 Hawthorn 6 2 – 125.6%
+8.9
5
4
 Gold Coast 5∗ 2 – 140.4%
+8.7
7
5
 Adelaide 5 3 – 131.8%
+9.0
6
6
 Western Bulldogs 5 3 – 127.1%
+10.3
4
7
 Geelong 5 3 – 117.4%
+10.4
3
8
 GWS 4 4 – 115.0%
+8.4
8
9
 Fremantle 4 4 – 97.2%
+7.1
12
10
 St Kilda 4 4 – 94.6%
+7.3
11
11
 Essendon 4∗ 3 – 88.6%
+5.9
14
12
 Port Adelaide 4 4 – 87.9%
+6.5
13
13
 Carlton 3 5 – 108.6%
+8.3
10
14
 Sydney 3 5 – 97.2%
+8.8
9
15
 Melbourne 3 5 – 81.6%
+5.2
15
16
 Richmond 2 6 – 63.4%
+4.0
16
17
 North Melbourne 1 7 – 76.4%
+4.1
17
18
 West Coast – 8 – 57.7%
+3.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8

56 16.20 28.07 78.9%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6

56 14.67 28.04 78.9%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7

55 15.84 28.72 77.5%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7

55 15.81 27.70 77.5%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7

54 15.59 27.97 76.1%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6

54 14.39 27.39 76.1%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7

54 14.32 28.05 76.1%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6

54 14.32 27.95 76.1%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6

53 16.60 26.98 74.6%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6

53 14.76 28.77 74.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7

53 14.41 27.44 74.6%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8

52 14.54 28.69 73.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8

52 14.49 29.56 73.2%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6

52 13.81 28.72 73.2%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7

52 13.59 29.03 73.2%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7

52 12.65 29.29 73.2%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6

52 10.10 28.01 73.2%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6

51 12.18 28.42 71.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6

51 11.35 29.11 71.8%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7

50 15.54 27.16 70.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6

50 15.25 26.80 70.4%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7

49 12.06 29.66 69.0%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8

49 6.36 31.74 69.0%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6

48 13.07 29.20 67.6%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7

48 12.25 30.03 67.6%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6

48 10.33 29.89 67.6%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8

48 6.45 31.45 67.6%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5

47 11.60 29.53 66.2%

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