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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
Adelaide 18.0 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Geelong 17.0 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3
4
Collingwood 16.0 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4
5
GWS 16.0 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5
6
Fremantle 16.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6
7
Gold Coast 15.0 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7
8
Hawthorn 15.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8
9
Western Bulldogs 14.0 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9
10
Sydney 12.0 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Carlton 9.0 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11
12
St Kilda 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12
13
Port Adelaide 9.0 80%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13
14
Melbourne 7.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14
15
Essendon 6.0 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
North Melbourne 5.5 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 5.0 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
West Coast 1.0 60%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After Round 26, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Adelaide 18 5 – 139.3%
+0.0
1
2
Geelong 17 6 – 141.5%
+0.0
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16 6 1 114.2%
+0.0
3
4
Collingwood 16 7 – 122.4%
+0.0
4
5
GWS 16 7 – 115.3%
+0.0
5
6
Fremantle 16 7 – 109.0%
+0.0
6
7
Gold Coast 15 8 – 124.9%
+0.0
7
8
Hawthorn 15 8 – 120.9%
+0.0
8
9
Western Bulldogs 14 9 – 137.0%
+0.0
9
10
Sydney 12 11 – 97.0%
+0.0
10
11
Carlton 9 14 – 96.7%
+0.0
11
12
St Kilda 9 14 – 88.5%
+0.0
12
13
Port Adelaide 9 14 – 79.8%
+0.0
13
14
Melbourne 7 16 – 93.3%
+0.0
14
15
Essendon 6 17 – 69.5%
+0.0
15
16
North Melbourne 5 17 1 76.3%
+0.0
16
17
Richmond 5 18 – 66.0%
+0.0
17
18
West Coast 1 22 – 60.1%
+0.0
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 3 1 1 0

163 48.0936 48.09 25.9680 25.97 75.4630 75.5%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 7 8 1 1 1 0

161 48.4613 48.46 26.3058 26.31 74.5370 74.5%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 8 7 7 8 2 2 1 0

161 46.9400 46.94 26.0003 26.00 74.5370 74.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 6 8 2 1 1 0

160 45.1104 45.11 27.0370 27.04 74.0741 74.1%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1 1 0

159 51.7316 51.73 26.1569 26.16 73.6111 73.6%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 2 1 1 0

159 48.0301 48.03 26.2402 26.24 73.6111 73.6%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1 1 0

159 47.6763 47.68 26.2407 26.24 73.6111 73.6%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 8 6 6 8 2 1 1 0

159 41.8460 41.85 26.6062 26.61 73.6111 73.6%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1 1 0

158 47.7363 47.74 26.0725 26.07 73.1481 73.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 8 7 7 8 2 1 2 0

157 46.5408 46.54 27.6343 27.63 72.6852 72.7%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 1 1 2 0

156 47.1341 47.13 26.3241 26.32 72.2222 72.2%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 8 7 8 8 3 1 2 0

155 45.2877 45.29 27.0762 27.08 71.7593 71.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 8 6 8 8 1 1 1 0

155 44.0639 44.06 26.7647 26.76 71.7593 71.8%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 8 7 7 7 2 1 1 0

154 50.2490 50.25 26.0363 26.04 71.2963 71.3%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 8 8 8 8 1 1 2 0

154 50.0600 50.06 26.5324 26.53 71.2963 71.3%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 8 7 7 7 2 0 1 0

154 46.9503 46.95 27.9722 27.97 71.2963 71.3%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1 1 0

154 46.5200 46.52 26.4090 26.41 71.2963 71.3%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 8 7 7 7 2 1 2 0

154 45.5319 45.53 26.8519 26.85 71.2963 71.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 7 8 2 0 1 0

153 50.3366 50.34 26.0007 26.00 70.8333 70.8%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 1 1 1 0

153 50.1084 50.11 25.8449 25.84 70.8333 70.8%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 7 8 7 8 1 2 2 1

153 42.9920 42.99 27.6852 27.69 70.8333 70.8%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 7 8 1 1 1 0

151 40.4665 40.47 27.7407 27.74 69.9074 69.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 8 7 7 8 1 0 0

151 35.7249 35.72 27.8425 27.84 †2 70.5607 70.6%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 8 7 6 8 2 1 2 0

150 43.8748 43.87 27.0602 27.06 69.4444 69.4%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 8 7 7 8 2 0

149 40.5878 40.59 27.5907 27.59 †4 70.2830 70.3%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 8 7 7 8 1 1 1

149 25.2310 25.23 29.0698 29.07 †1 69.3023 69.3%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 8 7 7 8

148 44.1782 44.18 26.9371 26.94 †9 71.4976 71.5%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 8 8 6 6 3 2 1

145 39.9262 39.93 28.0767 28.08 †1 67.4419 67.4%

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