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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.1 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Geelong 16.1 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Gold Coast 15.6 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.3 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
5
 Western Bulldogs 14.8 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
6
 Adelaide 14.1 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
7
 Hawthorn 13.8 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
8
 GWS 12.9 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
9
 Fremantle 12.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Carlton 10.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
11
 Sydney 10.6 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
12
 Melbourne 10.3 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–15
13
 Essendon 10.1 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
14
 St Kilda 9.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 Port Adelaide 8.7 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
16
 North Melbourne 5.7 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.5 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.8 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 11, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 9 2 – 132.9%
+8.1
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 8 2 1 113.1%
+6.8
4
3
 Gold Coast 8∗ 2 – 131.9%
+7.6
3
4
 Adelaide 7 4 – 130.6%
+7.1
6
5
 Geelong 7 4 – 122.0%
+9.1
2
6
 Hawthorn 7 4 – 117.4%
+6.8
7
7
 Western Bulldogs 6 5 – 126.5%
+8.8
5
8
 GWS 6 5 – 109.9%
+6.9
8
9
 Fremantle 6 5 – 105.6%
+6.5
9
10
 Essendon 6∗ 4 – 85.0%
+4.1
13
11
 Melbourne 5 6 – 89.3%
+5.3
12
12
 Carlton 4 7 – 102.8%
+6.5
10
13
 Sydney 4 7 – 93.2%
+6.6
11
14
 St Kilda 4 7 – 89.8%
+5.0
14
15
 Port Adelaide 4 7 – 79.1%
+4.7
15
16
 Richmond 3 8 – 69.2%
+2.5
17
17
 North Melbourne 2 8 1 78.1%
+3.2
16
18
 West Coast 1 10 – 64.6%
+2.8
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6

74 16.41 26.54 75.5%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6

74 15.75 26.85 75.5%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6

73 16.82 26.69 74.5%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6

72 16.71 26.80 73.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6

72 16.14 27.42 73.5%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6

72 15.13 26.97 73.5%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5

72 15.00 27.79 73.5%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6

71 15.67 26.63 72.4%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6

71 15.01 27.03 72.4%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5

71 14.10 28.27 72.4%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7

71 13.70 27.21 72.4%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6

70 18.02 26.22 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6

69 16.86 26.25 70.4%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5

69 15.03 27.45 70.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6

69 13.23 27.85 70.4%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6

69 12.90 28.63 70.4%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7

69 12.13 28.31 70.4%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5

69 11.53 27.04 70.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6

68 15.50 26.33 69.4%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6

68 14.58 27.62 69.4%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5

68 12.72 28.09 69.4%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6

66 7.55 29.77 67.3%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5

64 11.62 28.35 65.3%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5

64 11.01 28.60 65.3%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5

63 11.55 28.50 64.3%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7

63 10.34 29.29 64.3%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6

62 7.12 29.81 63.3%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 1

59 11.11 28.07†8 65.6%

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